Rockets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - February 28, 2024

Rockets at Thunder

3:00 am • TNT

Houston Rockets

8-4

95 - 112

Oklahoma City Thunder

10-2

112

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockets 8-4	+10	+10-112	o234-114	+334
Thunder 10-2	u234.5	-10-108	u234-106	-429

Wednesday 3:00 a.m.

February 28, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

F.VanVleet u15.5 Pts-115

On the road vs. OKC as near DD underdogs. FVV averages 13.8 PPG (U in 8/11) when away facing a top-15 PNR BH defense w/ Green, Brooks, & Sengun. He’s -250 to go U3.5 3PM, hit rate goes to 8/9 (89%) when this happens. #PlayerProps

C.Holmgren o16.5 Pts+100

C.Whitmore o11.5 Pts-120

1.2u

Over in 15/L19. Just had 12 in 16 mins (11 in 1H) vs the Thunder. Udoka went heavy on mins for the starters and they got rocked in the 2H, I could see him letting Whitmore get some more run in today (he was literally the only rocket with a positive plus/minus). But even with another 17 mins, this is a low line for Whitmore against a fast paced team - he gets shots up regardless of the environment.

OKC -10-110

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u44.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-112

$50.00

J.Smith To Record 12+ Rebounds Yes+290

1.02u

J.Smith o8.5 Rebs-132

Jabari Smith has hit this line in 7 of his last 9 games overall, and he has absolutely destroyed this match up historically. Smith rebounds vs. OKC: 9/18/17 He has 16 and 17 rebounds in his last two games so I might look into alt lines and ladder here.

Featured Insight
The Rockets has averaged 19.5 offensive rebounds per game since the start of the 2022-23 season -- best in the NBA; the Thunder have allowed 18.5 offensive rebounds/game since the start of the 2022-23 season -- worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Thunder have shot 40% from three this season -- best in the NBA; the Rockets are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 4-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Thunder' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	8-4	4-3	4-1	7-4	1-0
Rockets	7-5	5-2	2-3	5-4	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	6-6	4-3	2-3	6-5	0-1
Rockets	4-7-1	3-3-1	1-4	3-5-1	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	10-2	N/A	N/A	9-2	1-0
Rockets	8-4	N/A	N/A	6-3	2-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 26th	@HOU	W 123-110	-6.5 W	U 233	OKC -242
Feb 24th	WAS	W 147-106	-16 W	O 243	OKC -1494
Feb 23rd	LAC	W 129-107	-1.5 W	U 236	OKC -120
Feb 14th	@ORL	W 127-113	-3 W	O 223	OKC -145
Feb 11th	SAC	W 127-113	-3.5 W	U 240	OKC -160