Maryland vs. Alabama Odds & Betting Predictions - March 19, 2023

BetMGM: Been eyeing this under all day, it moved from 12.5 with plus money to the under to 13.5 with minus-money to the under, eventually to 13.5 with plus-money to the under, but then got hit back to -110 to the under so I need to get on it now. Have Quinerly projected for 11.9 with a generous 32 minutes. Even boosting his usage to the same as last game and reducing Miller's to the same as last game, I can only get to 13.0 for a projection. That's because Maryland sells out to stop the 3 ball (45th fewest percentage of points given up by 3 out of 363 teams), and Quinerly makes 45% of his points from downtown compared to a 31% national average.

Miller not 100%, and I don’t expect Oats to be as liberal with his minutes distribution in a tougher matchup. Quinerly has emerged as the #2 on this team, and I expect him to see 30+ minutes today.

Projection - 8.4: For more, check out BettingPros.

Maryland 12 best defensive efficiency against Pick and Roll, also 16th against off dribble 3. Both are must haves against Alabama