This matchup is what we all want to see in the NFL Playoffs — two of the league’s best squared off with two MVP candidates at quarterback.
However, those stars under center are set to contribute in different ways, and we can capitalize on that with our top NFL PrizePicks plays for Ravens vs. Bills.
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Ravens vs. Bills PrizePicks
Rashod Bateman More Than 42.5 Receiving Yards
This total is not fully adjusted for the role Bateman is going to have in this matchup.
With Zay Flowers still out, Bateman is the Ravens' top receiving option outside, and we’ve already seen him produce in the role when he racked up 76 yards on five receptions against the Browns.
The Ravens should have plenty of success against the Bills, as they rank 28th in opponent completion percentage allowed and 16th in yards per pass allowed. However, the matchup is even better when you narrow in on Bateman.
Bateman will run the majority of his routes against Rasul Douglas, who ranks 88th in PFF’s coverage grade for corners. On top of the added volume, Bateman has been more of a chunk-play receiver, averaging 14.3 yards per reception.
He may only need a handful of receptions to exceed this total.
Josh Allen More Than 8.5 Rush Attempts
The Bills are set to struggle in the ground game, as the Ravens have the No. 1 rush defense in terms of yards allowed per rush. However, Allen is a dynamic weapon to combat that. He’s proven effective in designed runs and scrambles.
With James Cook's output likely minimized, Allen will be relied on to keep the chains moving with his legs. Allen carried the ball eight times in a blowout win last week against Denver — his total can only go up now as the game should be tighter, and the stakes are higher.
Look for Allen to call his own number when it matters most.
James Cook Less Than 15.5 Receiving Yards
The Ravens' pass defense is their kryptonite, and that doesn’t change against running backs since they rank 30th in yards allowed per game. However, James Cook has become excluded from the passing game.
Over the last three games, Cook has not had a single target. This is due to two things.
The first is that Ty Johnson and Ray Davis have taken over passing-down snaps and, subsequently, any dump-off receptions. Secondly, the Bills are a run-heavy team that uses their wide receivers in the screen game. Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel and Dalton Kincaid will get the ball quickly in space to try and make something happen while Cook is the odd man out.
All signs point to it being a very quiet evening from Cook.
