In a high-strikeout matchup at home. Even with Warren projected for just 90 pitches, I have him down for more than 7 strikeouts, allowing me to take the plus money on the over.

In the alt market on FanDuel. Some weather in Cincinnati, so would check back on that before placing a bet to ensure no in-game delay, but I felt good enough about it this morning to fire. Abbott's strikeout rate is back up to 26.1% this year, and with no Royce Lewis, this Twins team projects to struggle and strike out a lot against lefties.

Have Lugo projected for just 4.01 strikeouts due to a low-strikeout matchup on the road and his reduced swinging-strike rate this year.