Not a fan of the Saints' offense, but neither defense should be feared, and I think the Cardinals' offense can do plenty of damage all by themselves in this one.

Russell Wilson isn't amazing, but he's still a big boost for this Giants offense, which does have a decent infrastructure. Add to that the Commanders' additions at impactful positions on offense, and I've got this total around 50.

I hate it, but here we are. Hard to model in bad vibes, so I've got the Dolphins favored by around a field goal here. What could go wrong.

I have value in a bunch of overs due to a combination of several factors. Possibly means I'm too high, and Week 1 will be a disaster. But in this spot, it's two elite offenses with plentiful shootout potential, so I'm willing to buy into my model, which shows value in the over.