Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Detroit Tigers

4-3

8 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	-1.5	-1.5+130	o7+100	-140
Guardians 4-6	u8.5	+1.5-155	u7-120	+120

Monday 10:40 p.m.

July 22, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

DET -125

CLE o1.5 Team Total (F5)+100

$50.00

C.Carrasco u15.5 Outs-120

1.25u

DET -110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored first in 67% of their games this month -- third highest in MLB. The Guardians have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games this month -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 19% this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. Tigers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% this month -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

34% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .631 this season -- ninth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .552 (455 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (70-for-177) against Carlos Carrasco's inside fastball since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .261 -- 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .859 (189 Total Bases / 220 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .602 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 21st	SD	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -110
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117
Jul 19th	SD	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -165
Jul 14th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +110
Jul 13th	@TB	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -112

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	97	7	6	1
RS.Miller, P	13	1	1	0
LE.Lucas, P	16	0.1	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	10	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Malloy, DH	1-5	1	1	2
4R.Greene, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Canha, LF	3-4	1	0	0
6W.Perez, RF	2-4	3	0	1
7G.Urshela, 1B	0-2	0	0	2
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	96	5.1	6	6
RP.Avila, P	34	1.1	3	0
LT.Herrin, P	14	1.1	2	1
RP.Strzelecki, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	1-4	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	0	0
5D.Fry, DH	2-5	1	0
6J.Noel, RF	0-3	0	0
7T.Freeman, 2B	3-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-4	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	2-3	1	1