Arguably the best team in baseball — the Los Angeles Dodgers — conclude their series on Wednesday against inarguably the worst team in baseball — the Chicago White Sox.
The Dodgers aim for a clean sweep after shaking off an early deficit to steal game two, and they enter game three as significant favorites.
How about we get a SGP together? So, here's my Dodgers vs White Sox MLB parlay for Wednesday, June 26.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
Dodgers vs White Sox Parlay: Wednesday Picks
- Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
- Freddie Freeman 2+ Total Bases (-130)
- Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-105)
Parlay Odds: +500 (DraftKings)
Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
Gavin Stone is a soft-contact maestro for the Dodgers. The 25-year-old righty has been a welcomed sight in the Dodgers' rotation with Bobby Miller (who's now back), Clayton Kershaw and Yoshinobu Yamamoto suffering injuries.
That forced the Dodgers to dip into their organizational depth, and Stone looks like a future staple in L.A.
Stone owns a 3.04 ERA with a 3.58 FIP, in large part due to an incredibly low home run rate — just 0.68 HR/9.
Stone should have a fairly easy time limiting a White Sox offense that owns an MLB-low 76 wRC+.
That gives the Dodgers a major advantage, so I'm adding -1.5 to freshen up this SGP.
Conversely, the Dodgers boast the top offense in baseball with a 121 wRC+, just two points ahead of the Yankees and a whopping 45 points above the lowly White Sox.
With Mookie Betts out, the Dodgers' lineup loses some firepower, but Shohei Ohtani has a 1.400 OPS with nine homers in his past 15 games. Ohtani, Will Smith and Freddie Freeman are more than enough for the Dodgers' offense to remain one of the top in baseball while Mookie is out.
It doesn't need to be difficult. The White Sox are 21-60 and appeared overmatched in the first two games against the Dodgers.
Even with Erick Fedde on the hill, I don't expect anything different, especially since the Dodgers had no issues facing Garrett Crochet.
The White Sox hold literally zero matchup advantages over the Dodgers, and I can't see any value in taking the Sox.
Freddie Freeman 2+ Total Bases (-130)
Ohtani’s hot streak could lead to others benefitting from seeing pitches to hit. Eventually, pitchers will be content walking Ohtani, which could led to Freeman seeing more hittable pitches.
Freeman is batting .339 with a .574 SLG and 183 wRC+ in June against right-handed pitchers.
Sometimes as a baseball community, we forget how good Freeman is. Even at age 34, he's batting over .300 with 12 homers and a 154 wRC+. He's one of the top pure hitters in baseball, and the greatness of Ohtani and Betts overshadow Freeman's dominance.
I'm looking to capitalize on Freeman's hot hitting of late by adding him to capture 2+ total bases at -130.
Freeman has eclipsed 2+ total bases in three of the past four games, and he’s always a threat for a multi-hit performance, even if he can’t record an extra-base hit.
Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-105)
Yeah, I'm doing it. I think we could see a relatively low-scoring matchup here — at least while the starters are in — so I'm going with no first-inning runs.
Once I took a peak at Fedde's success in the first frame, it sealed the deal on this bet.
Fedde is a star in the first inning, allowing just one run in his past 11 first innings — that came a few weeks back against the Diamondbacks.
The key for Fedde is navigating through Ohtani, who took Chris Flexen deep to begin Tuesday's game. But Flexen is really bad, whereas Fedde is not.
Similarly, Stone surrendered a run in the first in just one of his past 10 starts. We're looking at two pitchers who usually don't have any issues the first time through the lineup, and adding -110 on the no-first-inning runs feels like terrific value.
Also, can anyone really trust the White Sox to score in general? They mustered only three runs in the first two games of this series, thus I can't see Stone allowing a run in the first.
