Kings vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - January 26, 2024

Kings at Warriors

3:00 am • TNT

Sacramento Kings

7-5

134

134 - 133

Golden State Warriors

9-2

133

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Kings 7-5	-1	-1-108	o244-110	-120
Warriors 9-2	u244	+1-112	u244-110	+100

Friday 3:00 a.m.

January 26, 2024

Chase CenterSan Francisco

A.Wiggins u19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

Averaging 17.6 PRA as a starter this season, and is under in 16/23 starts with Steph this year. Kuminga an obvious threat to his mins, and Wiggins is also under in 5/6 B2Bs this season. Under in 2/3 vs SAC, and shooting terribly at home this season (39%, 27% from three).

Over 243.5-105

1.9u

S.Curry o27.5 Pts-124

$50.00

SAC -124

0.81u

S.Curry o27.5 Pts-108

0.46u

Discussed this one on the Prop the Mic podcast 🎙️

SAC -2-108

Beat the Hawks on 7 days rest - not buying it

D.Fox o26.5 Pts-120

0.83u

GSW +105

D.Sabonis Triple-Double Yes+210

0.24u

D.Sabonis o21.5 Rebs+Ast-125

This is an elite matchup for Sabonis against the Warriors who are playing their second game in as many days. This game is particularly important for the Kings as well, the Warriors currently lead the season series 2-1 and this game would at least secure a split of the tie-breaker for Playoff positioning so I’d expect slightly bigger minutes from the Kings’ star players. Sabonis has averaged 12.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game on the season and those numbers have roughly held against the Warriors in 3 games. He is averaging 12.3 rebounds on 19.0 chances and 8.3 assists on 15.0 potentials, per NBA Advanced Stats. This line is high relative to Sabonis’ regular season hit rate; however, the matchup remains exploitable. I like him to have a well rounded contribution against the Warriors tonight.

Featured Insight
The Kings have forced 14.4 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-8th-highest in the NBA; the Warriors have averaged 15.2 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-3rd-highest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season -- 8th-best in the NBA; the Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 6-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Warriors' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	9-2	3-1	6-1	5-1	4-1
Kings	6-5-1	2-2-1	4-3	5-3-1	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	8-3	2-2	6-1	3-3	5-0
Kings	6-6	2-3	4-3	4-5	2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	9-2	N/A	N/A	5-1	4-1
Kings	7-5	N/A	N/A	6-3	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 25th	ATL	W 134-112	-6.5 W	O 235	GSW -260
Jan 15th	@MEM	L 107-116	-7.5 L	U 226.5	MEM -305
Jan 14th	@MIL	L 118-129	+13.5 W	O 241	MIL +655
Jan 13th	@CHI	W 140-131	+3 W	O 228.5	GSW +120
Jan 11th	NOP	L 105-141	+2.5 L	O 234.5	NOP +120