Magic vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - October 23, 2024

Magic at Heat

11:30 pm • FDSSUN

Orlando Magic

3-5

116

116 - 97

Miami Heat

3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Magic 3-5	+1.5	+2-108	o208-108	+110
Heat 3-3	u210.5	-2-112	u208-110	-130

Wednesday 11:30 p.m.

October 23, 2024

Kaseya CenterMiami

W.Carter u7.5 Rebs-120

1.15u

MIA -130

$1150.00

NBA system

ORL +110

2.2u

👸

J.Jaquez o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-135

I feel like Caruso rn lol, but THIS LINE IS TOO LOW. Jaquez is coming off of an amazing year for the Heat and now his role this year will be coming off the bench as the teams 6th man. Facing the Magic tonight on paper is a bad matchup with how good the Magic were on defense last season, but Jaquez was still able to hit this line in 3/3 games vs ORL last season with 14,29,20. However, coming off the bench will be a huge plus for him on this line as the Heats 2nd unit is good and has a lot of guys that aren't ball dominant like Love, Robinson, Burks, which should give more scoring opportunity to Jaquez. Herro will be in there as well and will attribute to his assists as well, so another plus. This should be the LOWEST we see this line all year because he hit this line in 78% of games last year and when he played at least 27 minutes, which he is projected to play tonight, he hit this line in 88% of games last year. The Heat are at home tonight as well and he hit this line in 19/22 at home last year. He had a great preseason hitting this line in 3/3 games with 12,26,12. This is probably my POTD.

MIA -2-110

1.65u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M-133

0.27u

Buckets pod from @bryanfonsecany

ORL u103.5 Team Total-110

Miami defense will strap a PG-less Magic team

ORL +110

1.1u

MIA -130

1.3u

Everyone loves the magic, undervaluing heat imo

J.Jaquez o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

0.8u

K.Caldwell-Pope o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

1.5u

6.12% ev

B.Adebayo o1.5 3pt M+700

0.15u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M-110

0.5u

My Player Props Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-forecast-eyes-on-okc-bam-adebayo-and-anthony-davis

T.Herro u24.5 Pts+Ast-102

0.98u

🎙️ Discussed on Cash That Pod The Miami Heat take on the Orlando Magic and it’s a pairing of two of last year’s slowest teams. I expect a grinding defensive battle. The key here is that Miami is healthy to start the year and they can run a fairly deep rotation with their starting core 4 of Butler, Bam, Rozier, and Herro. I expect this to limit Herro’s opportunities.  Last year when playing with Bam, Butler, and Rozier he saw his Usage decline and he hit his 24.5 PA line in just 2/10 while avg 22.4 PA. The biggest swing was Rozier, with whom he scored 3.23 points fewer per 100 possessions and while he saw an assists bump next to Rozier, that was more than canceled out by playing next to Jimmy Butler. Considering the healthy Heat and the expected Pace, I’m grabbing under 24.5 PA.

B.Adebayo o2.5 3pt M+1800

0.13u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M-110

0.66u

#tailing @GDAWG5000, @wheatonbrando & @TurveyBets on Bam 🪜. I literally can’t see a 3s ladder and not hop on for some NBA opening fun. Corner 3 Bam SZN

B.Adebayo o1.5 3pt M+700

0.25u

Over 208.5-110

0.25u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M-110

0.5u

It’s about Bam time @TurveyBets @GDAWG5000

B.Adebayo o1.5 3pt M+700

0.5u

Escalator SZN @GDAWG5000 @TurveyBets

B.Adebayo o2.5 3pt M+1800

0.25u

Escalator SZN @GDAWG5000 @TurveyBets, if we are right, we may never get this price again

B.Adebayo o2.5 3pt M+1800

0.2u

3PT 🪜🪜🪜 I know my guy @TurveyBets @wheatonbrando like it.

B.Adebayo o1.5 3pt M+700

0.35u

3PT 🪜🪜🪜 I know my guy @TurveyBets @wheatonbrando like it.

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M-110

0.55u

3PT 🪜🪜🪜 I know my guy @TurveyBets @wheatonbrando like it.

F.Wagner u19.5 Pts-113

1.13u

Franz under in 20/36 away games last season with Paolo (second straight season his scoring and shooting declined in away games), and was under in 16/24 games against teams in the top 10 of defense vs PnR ball handlers (MIA was #1). He looked very flat in preseason (8/27 shooting, 0/7 from three, more turnovers than assists).

Featured Insight
The Magic allowed 12.5 second chance points per game on the road last season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Heat averaged 11.9 second chance points per game at home last season -- 5th-lowest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Heat allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three last season -- 5th-best in the NBA; the Magic shot 35% from three last season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 2-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Heat' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	2-4	0-4	2-0	2-3	0-1
Magic	2-6	1-1	1-5	1-2	1-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	2-4	2-2	0-2	1-4	1-0
Magic	5-3	2-0	3-3	2-1	3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	3-3	N/A	N/A	3-2	0-1
Magic	3-5	N/A	N/A	2-1	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 19th	@MEM	W 114-109	+9 W	U 223	MIA +295
Oct 16th	ATL	W 120-111	+4 W	O 224.5	MIA +137
Oct 15th	SAS	W 120-117	-5.5 L	O 212.5	MIA -205
Oct 13th	NOP	W 101-99	-2.5 L	U 218.5	MIA -135
Oct 8th	@CHA	L 108-111	+2 L	O 217	CHA +105

Kevin Love
SF
Kevin Love (conditioning) out Monday.
Out
Jaime Jaquez
SG
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (illness) out Monday.
Out

Wendell Carter
C
Wendell Carter Jr. (foot) out Monday.
Out

Franz Wagner
SF
Franz Wagner (illness) expected to play Friday.
Probable
Paolo Banchero
SF
Banchero is out with oblique
Out

See more NBA Injuries

scoring
Terry Rozier
19
ppg
rebounding
Terry Rozier
6
rpg
assists
Terry Rozier
5
apg
shooting
Thomas Bryant
100
fg%

Magic

Heat

41-96 (43%)

Field Goals

32-83 (39%)

16-22 (73%)

Free Throws

22-29 (76%)

18-49 (37%)

11-34 (32%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Magic 3-5	o103.5-110	u103.5-110
Heat 3-3	o104.5-112	u104.5-108

Magic vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - October 23, 2024

Magic at Heat

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