Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
Pending
DDV o6.5 3PA+110
MIN
103
118
OKC
0.75u
FINAL 5/23
DDV took 12 3s in G1 and is clearly a big part of the rotation and plan. When he plays 27+ minutes this season, he has 7+ 3pa in 23/32 games, 72% hit rate to this, averaging 8.4 attempts. If you can bet attempts, we don’t have to worry about makes. If you prefer makes, go for the outliers I’m case the volume is high and the shots fall.
31
Mitch is a rebounding monster, especially oreb. He’s only 2 reb behind Hart and KAT, the only competition here, and starting comes at the direct expense of both. More Mitch means less Hart minutes, and it also means KAT further from the basket on both ends. There’s injury risk as the minutes ramp up but I’d make him the favorite as a starter so this is a bad number heading into G3 in a starting role he could keep. Should be the favorite for G3 leader too, see if your book has the market available
66
I.Hartenstein u16.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
MIN
@OKC
0.75u
05/29 12:30 AM
Under 20 minutes in four of the last five games after only going under that number three times the entire regular season, this just isn’t the series for him so PRA is an overall volume fade
62
C.Wallace o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106
MIN
@OKC
0.75u
05/29 12:30 AM
Outside of the blowout loss, Wallace continues to see big minutes and contribute all over the court. He has played at least 27 minutes and gone over this PRA line in his last five games dating back into the Denver series
84
N.Alexander-Walker o8.5 Pts-125
MIN
@OKC
0.75u
05/29 12:30 AM
NAW is quietly fourth on Minnesota in minutes this series. They need him out there with his defensive acumen, shooting, size, and handle. He’s been an aggressive scorer, averaging over 14 PPG when he plays at least 25 minutes, a number he’s hit all but the blowout game the series. He’d hit 15+ in three of the six too.
67
N.Alexander-Walker To Score 15+ Points Yes+400
MIN
@OKC
0.5u
05/29 12:30 AM
NAW is quietly fourth on Minnesota in minutes this series. They need him out there with his defensive acumen, shooting, size, and handle. He’s been an aggressive scorer, averaging over 14 PPG when he plays at least 25 minutes, a number he’s hit all but the blowout game the series. He’d hit 15+ in three of the six too.
57
SGA most assists in game+130
MIN
@OKC
2u
05/29 12:30 AM
Just well ahead of anyone else in the series in potentials and actual. He’s led comfortably in 3 of the 4 and tied for the lead in the other, even in a blowout when his team was out scored by 40.
40
Ant 3+ 1q reb 🐜 +180
MIN
@OKC
0.5u
05/29 12:30 AM
/extreme Wolf of Wall Street voice
We’re not hedging. WE’RE NOT *** HEDGING!!!
45
Ant 5+ 1q reb 🐜 +1200
MIN
@OKC
0.1u
05/29 12:30 AM
/extreme Wolf of Wall Street voice
We’re not hedging. WE’RE NOT *** HEDGING!!!
39
3-WAY PARLAY+626
0.25u
These are all correlated with the idea of the series trending small, so it makes sense to play them together.
I.Hartenstein u16.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
MIN
@OKC
05/29 12:30 AM
C.Wallace o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106
MIN
@OKC
05/29 12:30 AM
N.Alexander-Walker o8.5 Pts-125
MIN
@OKC
05/29 12:30 AM
28
Thunder 4-2 vs MIN+475
0.5u
Giving Wolves credit for at least 2 wins — they have a G1 rest advantage, there’s some real defensive answers and a coaching edge, and they can find some offense with free throws and 3s math — but still trust OKC to get the job done. Splitting series bet to Thunder in 6 or 7 at combined implied +175, sacrificing short series outcomes making up over half the OKC odds.
63
Thunder 4-3 vs MIN+425
0.5u
Giving Wolves credit for at least 2 wins — they have a G1 rest advantage, there’s some real defensive answers and a coaching edge, and they can find some offense with free throws and 3s math — but still trust OKC to get the job done. Splitting series bet to Thunder in 6 or 7 at combined implied +175, sacrificing short series outcomes making up over half the OKC odds.
56
Ant series reb leader vs OKC 🐜+5000
1u
Could be a tough Ant scoring series but great players find ways to impact the game in other ways. Ant is a great positional rebounder and OKC is beatable on the glass esp oreb. Ant led all players in season series with 7-7-10-13 reb at 9.3rpg. He’s at 8.0rpg in playoffs, grabbing an outstanding 67% of reb chances.
Reb leader 50-1 is my fav bet of the series. Rudy Chet iHart all around 8-10 a game and could split plurality esp with minutes wavering. Also love 6rpg at -155, far below my expectation, and 8rpg +600 right where I expect him. 🐜
100
Ant 6rpg vs OKC 🐜-155
3u
Could be a tough Ant scoring series but great players find ways to impact the game in other ways. Ant is a great positional rebounder and OKC is beatable on the glass esp oreb. Ant led all players in season series with 7-7-10-13 reb at 9.3rpg. He’s at 8.0rpg in playoffs, grabbing an outstanding 67% of reb chances.
Reb leader 50-1 is my fav bet of the series. Rudy Chet iHart all around 8-10 a game and could split plurality esp with minutes wavering. Also love 6rpg at -155, far below my expectation, and 8rpg +600 right where I expect him. 🐜
54
Ant 8rpg vs OKC 🐜+600
1u
Could be a tough Ant scoring series but great players find ways to impact the game in other ways. Ant is a great positional rebounder and OKC is beatable on the glass esp oreb. Ant led all players in season series with 7-7-10-13 reb at 9.3rpg. He’s at 8.0rpg in playoffs, grabbing an outstanding 67% of reb chances.
Reb leader 50-1 is my fav bet of the series. Rudy Chet iHart all around 8-10 a game and could split plurality esp with minutes wavering. Also love 6rpg at -155, far below my expectation, and 8rpg +600 right where I expect him. 🐜
50
JDub series assists leader vs MIN+1100
1u
JDub assists continue to be a wagon this playoffs, 5.7apg on 10.8 potentials with 4+ dimes in all 11 playoff games (even the blowouts). Actually 5+ all but two, and 5+ all four Wolves games this season at 5-6-7-9 (6.8apg). Minn will try to make someone not named Shai beat them, and that sets up for a great JDub matchup. With Ant at 5.9apg and SGA 6.4, JDub could even contend for the series lead.
91
JDub 6apg vs MIN+550
1u
JDub assists continue to be a wagon this playoffs, 5.7apg on 10.8 potentials with 4+ dimes in all 11 playoff games (even the blowouts). Actually 5+ all but two, and 5+ all four Wolves games this season at 5-6-7-9 (6.8apg). Minn will try to make someone not named Shai beat them, and that sets up for a great JDub matchup. With Ant at 5.9apg and SGA 6.4, JDub could even contend for the series lead.
57
Ant 6apg vs OKC 🐜+220
1u
Ant had 7-7-8 ast in 3 Feb games vs OKC, avg 6.0 on 12 potentials vs OKC and 5.9 on 9.5 potentials in playoffs. OKC will make it hard to score but Ant needs to limit TOs and setup teammates. I project him around 6.5 assists this series so that should put him in play for series lead too. Depends if Wolves shots fall.
45
Ant series assists leader vs OKC 🐜+600
1u
Ant had 7-7-8 ast in 3 Feb games vs OKC, avg 6.0 on 12 potentials vs OKC and 5.9 on 9.5 potentials in playoffs. OKC will make it hard to score but Ant needs to limit TOs and setup teammates. I project him around 6.5 assists this series so that should put him in play for series lead too. Depends if Wolves shots fall.
79
Ant 10+ assists any game vs OKC 🐜+275
0.25u
Ant had 7-7-8 ast in 3 Feb games vs OKC, avg 6.0 on 12 potentials vs OKC and 5.9 on 9.5 potentials in playoffs. OKC will make it hard to score but Ant needs to limit TOs and setup teammates. I project him around 6.5 assists this series so that should put him in play for series lead too. Depends if Wolves shots fall.
29
Ant & SGA 10+ ast combined each game of WCF+270
1.5u
Fun combo special offering at FD to play the two stars. You take on a little extra injury risk, but you get two outs each game which helps give blowout protection. I make the usual floor here about 12 combined, with both defenses trying to make anyone but these dudes beat them. It also gives a little sneaky cover to our ant JDub assists position in case SGA just has a monster series passing.
53
Mitchell Robinson reb leader vs IND+1100
1u
Mitch is a rebounding monster, especially oreb. He’s only 2 reb behind Hart and KAT, the only competition here, and starting comes at the direct expense of both. More Mitch means less Hart minutes, and it also means KAT further from the basket on both ends. There’s injury risk as the minutes ramp up but I’d make him the favorite as a starter so this is a bad number heading into G3 in a starting role he could keep.
78
KAT round leader in rebounds-140
2.8u
Series should go longer than WCF, and KAT dominated vs Indy, with Knicks crushing on glass esp oreb. Series rebounds line too juiced to play but I don’t like the big men in the west anyway, not great reb or consistent minutes. Should be clear favorite here barring injury or constant fouls.
56
Haliburton 3s leader vs NYK+250
1u
Hali absolutely bombed vs Knicks in playoffs last year, took almost 10 a game and made 29 in seven games, over 4 a game on 44%. Averaging 8.8 attempts in 13 games against the Knicks the last two seasons with 3.3 makes. Shouldn’t be huge 3pt volume this series but I like Hali as the clear favorite.
67
Haliburton 3s leader Conf Finals+650
0.25u
Hali absolutely bombed vs Knicks in playoffs last year, took almost 10 a game and made 29 in seven games, over 4 a game on 44%. Averaging 8.8 attempts in 13 games against the Knicks the last two seasons with 3.3 makes. Shouldn’t be huge 3pt volume this series but I like Hali as the clear favorite.
29
Mathurin 3s leader vs NYK+12500
0.25u
2.3 per game in the playoffs, Mathurin has been playing well and he already hit 7/9 in one game against Knicks. It’ll be tough coming off the bench but it’s such a long number.
51
Alexander-Walker 3s leader vs OKC+1400
0.25u
Minnesota is running short on options but NAW has played well both ways and is 4th in minutes. Huge plurality of wolves atop 3s leader market rn, and I still think it’s Ant most likely but if this ends quickly and he keeps missing (correlated!) it could be wide open. Be sure to shop around for long numbers on this market!
21
Ant 6rpg vs OKC-210
0.1u
If you like surer things, this is still playable. No need to add to your -155 pre flop position.
7
Ant reb leader vs OKC 🐜+500
0.25u
If you played pre series +5000 you’re set. This bet looks even better after G1 and is still worth investing at +500. He’s leading right now and the bigs were poor in G1.
48
Ant pts leader vs OKC 🐜+2500
0.5u
SGA is probably gonna win this. Already up 31-18 and much better matchup for him. This is a bet on principle. 13 points is nothing to a scorer like Ant. If he gets hot and 3s rain, we’ll be glad to have this ticket. Just too many games left to not take a shot on such a dynamic scorer.
54
Ant ast leader vs OKC 🐜+1400
0.5u
SGA had 9a G1 so he’s a huge favorite now but he did that on only 10 potentials. By potentials, JDub and Ant were right there with him. It’s a long series and this still looks like a pretty coin flippy race G2 forward. SGA has a big head start now on JDub (5) and Ant (3) but a lot can happen. I bet both guys before the series and G1 didn’t go well but I still see opportunity so let’s take one more shot at this market on both guys. Add to your position or play fresh.
51
JDub ast leader vs MIN+1600
0.5u
SGA had 9a G1 so he’s a huge favorite now but he did that on only 10 potentials. By potentials, JDub and Ant were right there with him. It’s a long series and this still looks like a pretty coin flippy race G2 forward. SGA has a big head start now on JDub (5) and Ant (3) but a lot can happen. I bet both guys before the series and G1 didn’t go well but I still see opportunity so let’s take one more shot at this market on both guys. Add to your position or play fresh.
61
JDub steals leader vs MIN+130
0.5u
JDub had 5 steals in G1 and leads both teams in SPG anyway, including 1.8 in the playoffs and 2.8 vs Minnesota this season. He was straight ripping guys. I don’t like playing steals game to game bc they’re so volatile but he’s got a great head start and looks like the best pick. You can play just o1.5 steals if you prefer.
20
Pacers 4-2 exact outcome vs NYK+500
0.5u
Are we sure these teams didn’t body swap midseason? Pacers 60-win pace since Jan 1 and D leapt into top 10, while Knicks #2 offense plummeted to below avg around the same time. Both teams have looked the part in the postseason too. I think this series is long and twisty but think the Pacers are better, so spitting series bet on Indy in 6 (+500) or 7 (+700), combined implied +243.
55
Pacers 4-3 exact outcome vs NYK+700
0.5u
Are we sure these teams didn’t body swap midseason? Pacers 60-win pace since Jan 1 and D leapt into top 10, while Knicks #2 offense plummeted to below avg around the same time. Both teams have looked the part in the postseason too. I think this series is long and twisty but think the Pacers are better, so spitting series bet on Indy in 6 (+500) or 7 (+700), combined implied +243.
51
Hart 6 Reb each game vs IND 💙-110
2u
In 12 healthy games vs Indy last 2 years, Hart is averaging 11.3rpg with at least 8r every game and double digits all but two. He’s had at least 6r in all 24 healthy playoff games the last 2 years and should be an oreb weapon vs bad reb team. 10.4rpg in playoffs so far. The floor is there and so is the ceiling.
47
Hart 8rpg vs IND 💙-400
2u
In 12 healthy games vs Indy last 2 years, Hart is averaging 11.3rpg with at least 8r every game and double digits all but two. He’s had at least 6r in all 24 healthy playoff games the last 2 years and should be an oreb weapon vs bad reb team. 10.4rpg in playoffs so far. The floor is there and so is the ceiling.
45
Hart 10rpg vs IND 💙+210
1u
In 12 healthy games vs Indy last 2 years, Hart is averaging 11.3rpg with at least 8r every game and double digits all but two. He’s had at least 6r in all 24 healthy playoff games the last 2 years and should be an oreb weapon vs bad reb team. 10.4rpg in playoffs so far. The floor is there and so is the ceiling.
57
2+ overtime games NYK IND+3000
0.25u
Just a fun bet… should get close games in a close series!
42
Either team to come back from 25+ pts NYK IND+1000
0.1u
Another fun one. We’ve already had a record number of 20pt comebacks this postseason, and both of these teams have already had two such comebacks. Could we get some more wild swings?
45
Either team to come back from 30+ pts NYK IND+2200
0.1u
Another fun one. We’ve already had a record number of 20pt comebacks this postseason, and both of these teams have already had two such comebacks. Could we get some more wild swings?
43
JDub 4+ Assists Per Game WCF+200
3u
Tailing @JoeDellera on this
Giannis Antetokounmpo Finals MVP+2000
0.5u
Buckets Futures Blitztravaganza
37
Leone Fiebich Most Improved Player of the Year+6000
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Sophie Cunningham Sixth Player of the Year+1100
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Napheesa Collier MVP+475
1u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Phee lit it up all summer with Unrivaled but left the playoffs disappointed so maybe she’ll parlay that into an MVP breakout
Futures
Los Angeles Lakers+2100
2024-25 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
Let’s get Buckets 🪣 check the Luka-Davis reaction pod… YOLO. You will not be mad you have a 21-1 ticket on Luka & LeBron in this West climate.
145
San Francisco 49ers+2000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
49ers as next year’s Eagles? My first 2026 Super Bowl pick Hot Read 🔥: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
85
Seattle Seahawks+7000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Next year’s Vikings? Elite D, great O weapons & new OC Kubiak elevates O: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
62
Kawhi Leonard+14000
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.25u
Check Futures Friday Buckets 3/28 🪣. I just can’t quit Kawhi, this is a bomb but a bad number if this happens to be his one healthy stretch once every five seasons. Clips heavily matchup dependent but there’s a path and he’s a top 5 playoff player if healthy.
36
Kristaps Porziņģis+5500
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.5u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 we’ve already seen Celtics MVP votes go plurality and not necessarily the best player, only has to win MVP <20% of Cs finals wins and would be key esp vs OKC, could even be their most important player. This is a ticket you’ll be glad to have an a month when they are playing in ECF
59
Indiana Pacers+3300
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 Haliburton 8.9 BPM and 138 Ortg since Jan 1. He might be the best meaningful player in the east playoffs. I like Pacers as clear first round favorites, and we don’t know for sure if the Cavs are the real thing in the playoffs. Pacers can score with anyone and have already shown they’re live vs NYK or BOS in potential ECF.
62
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
The ultimate buy low. Giannis in full beast mode, avg 35/15, and now Dame is back and shaking off the rust. Bucks have the best player in the East and could have the two best players in any series. Celtics injuries piling up, Cavs struggling to to put Heat away, Knicks frauds… just a nibble!
53
Boston Celtics+110
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
2.5u
Everything went wrong for Boston in game one, almost everything went right for New York, and it still took overtime to win by a single shot. I’m more confident in Boston after that, not less.
Teams home G2 after G1 loss by 3+ are 65% ATS, incl 17-5 rd2. Since 2020, Boston when fav after losing as a fav 15-3 ATS in playoffs. Great bounce back spot and the buy low spot on the Celtics we’ve been waiting for, so it’s time to take the Boston futures escalator.
47
Boston Celtics+190
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
2.5u
If you think we’re going away that easily, you don’t know me at all.
Celtics series 54%
Celtics in 6 20%
Celtics +1.5 60%
Celtics east 41% vs implied 34%
TRIPLE DOWN. See you at Buckets. 🪣
84
Andrew Nembhard+20000
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Eastern Conference Finals - MVP
0.25u
Pacers scream out to me as a team that could have a goofy MVP winner. Initially like them vs NYK. Nembhard scores 15 a game, led Indy in assists last round, career 49% 3pt shooter in the playoffs. He can’t get hot for a few games and steal a plurality vote with a nice series as the primary Brunson defender?? YOLO 🙃
52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+150
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
1.5u
Just talked this through on Buckets. 🪣 if we think the West is heavily favorites in the Finals but Denver is too banged up and exhausted to go another month, that leaves OKC MIN and these two winning FMVP acts as a proxy. Taking advantage of a bad SGA price we may never see again, plus Ant, gives us implied -114 for what should effectively be OKC or MIN to in the title. Either one will be favored WAY more than that in a Finals matchup.
50
Anthony Edwards+650
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
1.5u
Just talked this through on Buckets. 🪣 if we think the West is heavily favorites in the Finals but Denver is too banged up and exhausted to go another month, that leaves OKC MIN and these two winning FMVP acts as a proxy. Taking advantage of a bad SGA price we may never see again, plus Ant, gives us implied -114 for what should effectively be OKC or MIN to in the title. Either one will be favored WAY more than that in a Finals matchup.
63
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 13-13-0 | 50% | 8.18u |
| Last 30 Days | 98-189-0 | 34% | 51.55u |
| All Time | 2548-3292-98 | 43% | 761.43u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1082-1393-30 | 43% | 409.60u |
| NBA | 1255-1600-61 | 43% | 256.42u |
| NCAAB | 150-211-5 | 41% | 68.78u |
| NCAAF | 31-25-1 | 54% | 17.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-4-0 | 56% | 7.32u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 3-9-0 | 25% | -2.70u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
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Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!
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