Iowa State vs Texas Tech Odds, Picks: Red Raiders to Get First Big 12 Win

Iowa State vs Texas Tech Odds, Picks: Red Raiders to Get First Big 12 Win article feature image
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Pictured: Kevin Obanor #0 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images)

Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Odds

Monday, Jan. 30
9 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Iowa State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-102
129.5
-110o / -110u
-114
Texas Tech Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-120
129.5
-110o / -110u
-105
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

Big 12 play has gone completely differently for these teams.

Iowa State has been of the main surprises of the conference, sitting at 6-2 in the Big 12 standings and inside the top 15 in the country.

Texas Tech, on the other hand, is winless in league play and checks into Monday night's contest with an 0-8 record.

Despite all of that, the Red Raiders enter this matchup fresh off a victory. Tech won in Baton Rouge on Saturday, beating LSU in the final edition of the SEC/Big 12 Challenge.

Meanwhile, the Cyclones ran into a buzzsaw at Missouri, falling 78-61 to the Tigers.

This will be the second matchup between these teams. Iowa State won the first game by 34 earlier this month in Ames.

Let's discuss where the betting value lies in Lubbock.


Iowa State Cyclones

Kansas State has dominated much of the conversation nationally and within the Big 12 as the surprise team of the year, and rightfully so. But the Cyclones should be right there with them.

T.J. Otzelberger has done a phenomenal job thus far in Ames and has once again used the transfer portal to build a deep and quality roster.

The Cyclones strength is their play on the defensive end. ISU ranks 10th in Ken Pom's adjDE rankings and also check in at No. 1 in turnover % forced.

The Cyclones don't let opponents move the ball from side to side in the half court, and Otzelberger has plenty of suffocating on-ball defenders.

In the first meeting against Tech, Iowa State held the Red Raiders to just 50 points and 36% shooting from the field.

On the other end of the floor, Gabe Kalscheur is a veteran guard who has hit numerous big shots for the Cyclones all season. He had 25, including going 5-for-6 from 3, in the January 10th meeting between these teams.

There's no single superstar in this offense, but it's been effective because anybody can step up on any given night.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders

Things have not gone according to plan for Mark Adams in his second year as the head man in Lubbock. And Injuries have been at the center of the problem.

Fardaws Aimaq, someone Adams was really counting on to be a big part of the offense, has been out for most of the season due to a leg injury.

Pop Isaacs has also missed time recently and his status for Monday night remains uncertain.

Tech is turning the ball over on more than 20% of its trips, which is outside the top 250 in the country.

The Red Raiders defense has kept it in most games all year, but the inability to get a critical bucket in crunch time has continued to plague them.

Kevin Obanor is one of the Texas Tech's bright spots. The senior transfer from Oral Roberts is averaging over 15 points and six rebounds per game and is typically tasked with guarding the opposing teams' best interior player.

Despite the trying times Tech finds itself in, Adams doesn't seem to have lost the locker room.

Five of Texas Tech's eight conference losses have come by seven points or less, so there should be some positive regression coming in the "luck" department.


Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Betting Pick

I believe Monday night is the night Texas Tech finally breaks through and secures a conference victory. The Red Raiders have been close on numerous occasions, but haven't quite been able to seal the deal.

Back home after a win over LSU, there should be a loud crowd inside United Supermarkets Arena. The Red Raider faithful may be unhappy with Mark Adams and company at the moment, but they are still going to show up in full force.

Regardless of the record, Texas Tech is a good defensive team and I don't see Iowa State shooting the ball anywhere near as well as it did in the first matchup between these two.

Give me the Red Raiders to generate just enough to edge out the Cyclones and get off the schneid in the Big 12 in the process.

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Daniel Preciado
Nov 5, 2024 UTC