UConn vs. Seton Hall Odds
| UConn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-10.5 -110 | 133.5 -110 / -110 | -650 |
| Seton Hall Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 133.5 -110 / -110 | +475 |
Seton Hall and UConn enter Saturday's Big East matchup still vying for positioning in the conference standings.
Seton Hall sits at 9-7, just one game ahead of a UConn team sitting at 8-7.
The Pirates have lost two of their last three games, with their only win coming against Georgetown.
On the other side, Connecticut is looking to bounce back from its loss to Creighton on Saturday, which ended its three-game winning streak.
This will be a revenge game for UConn after it suffered a crushing 67-66 loss to Seton Hall back on Jan. 18.
🔺 Actual Score: Connecticut 66-67 Seton Hall
🔺 ShotQuality Score: Connecticut 69-73 Seton HallBased on the quality of shots taken:
🔺 Connecticut wins 35% of the time
🔺 Seton Hall wins 65% of the time pic.twitter.com/Ung0a1FTYt— ShotQuality Scores (@SQ_Scores) January 19, 2023
To pick which team will separate itself in the Big East standings, let’s take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Seton Hall vs. Connecticut.
Connecticut Huskies
The Huskies remain one of the few teams inside the top 25 in both Offensive and Defensive Adjusted Efficiency, according to KenPom.
This is significant as just one national champion in the past 20 years has fallen outside the top 25 in either category.
Despite these rankings, the Huskies have had an up-and-down season in the Big East. Since losing five of its first six games to begin January, Connecticut has won three of its last four.
This up-and-down-type season in the Big East can be attributed to the Huskies' affinity for the 3-point shot. Connecticut scores 34.7% of its points from 3-point range due to shooting 41.9% of its shots from beyond the arc.
Defensively, Seton Hall has done well at defending 3s, allowing just 28.9% of its opponents' points to come from deep (below the D-I average).
The Huskies attempt to find balance on the offensive end through the interior play of center Adama Sanogo. The 6-foot-9 junior leads the team with 17.2 points per game.
In the first matchup with the Pirates, Sanogo was able to post 16 points despite playing just 28 minutes with foul trouble.
Sanogo’s presence offensively is even more significant since Connecticut's offense scores just 46.7% of its points from 2-point range (303rd nationally).
The most 2-pointers made this year:
1. Azuolas Tubelis
2. Zach Edey
3. Adam Sanogo*Power 6 Teams pic.twitter.com/hM936T8ZnT
— CBB Analytics (@CBBAnalytics) January 16, 2023
The interior is an area Sanogo and the Huskies will look to attack as Seton Hall is giving up 52.2% of its points from 2-point range.
Seton Hall Pirates
Seton Hall has been able to find success in the Big East thanks to its impressive play on the defensive end. The Pirates rank 15th nationally in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, allowing their opponents to score just 64.7 points per game.
This defense was on full display in Seton Hall’s first matchup with Connecticut, as it held the Huskies to just 66 total points. This point total is significant for a UConn team averaging 78.6 points per game.
This 12.6-point regression came as a result of the Pirates creating 18 total turnovers. This is an area Seton Hall has excelled at this season, ranking inside the top 50 in turnover percentage and 19th in steal percentage.
Although there should be some progression for a Huskies team averaging just 12.6 turnovers per game, they will still need to prove they can handle the on-ball pressure of Seton Hall.
Connecticut ranks 212th in steal percentage allowed at 9.6%.
Where Seton Hall really needs to focus is on its play on the offensive end. The Pirates rank 167th nationally in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, with an effective field goal percentage of just 48.8%.
In the first matchup, Seton Hall was able to bolster its offense at the charity stripe, knocking down 17 of its 25 total free-throw attempts.
Defensively, this is the one area UConn has been vulnerable, allowing 24.6% of its opponents' points to come from the free-throw line (fifth-highest rate in the country).
Relying on the charity strip is not a consistent offensive recipe for success when playing on the road.
UConn vs Seton Hall Betting Pick
On the surface, this is a good spot to back a talented Connecticut team looking for revenge on its home floor.
However, Connecticut ranks just 250th in home-court advantage, according to Haslametrics.
Additionally, Seton Hall has some advantages on the defensive end, which will slow down Connecticut.
With Sanogo likely playing more than he did in the first matchup, it's also difficult to justify backing a Seton Hall offense still without key contributor Dre Davis.
Given these factors, the best investment lies on the under in a game Seton Hall will attempt to turn into a low-scoring slugfest.
Pick: Under 133.5 or Better |
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