We are approaching the last day of the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. The prop market has been good to us, and that trend should continue today.
There are some big edges on the board; below, you'll find three quality additions to your card.
So, let's dive into our top March Madness player props for Sunday's action.
College Basketball Player Prop Picks
In the table below, you'll find each of our college basketball staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 12:10 p.m. | |
| 6:10 p.m. | |
| 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Colorado vs. Marquette
Tristan da Silva
Over 6.5 Rebounds +Assists (-125)
The Colorado Buffaloes come into this second-round matchup after a barnburner against Florida in which both teams broke triple digits. It ultimately took a last-second game-winner to seal the win.
The pace should be high again in their matchup against the Marquette Golden Eagles, and that means more opportunities for Tristan da Silva to touch the ball.
Da Silva is a dynamic big man who can really do it all for the Buffs. He has the touch to score, the size to battle on the glass and the vision to facilitate.
This afternoon, we're going to forgo his scoring, as he has a great matchup in the other categories. Marquette ranks 347th in assists to field goal made ratio, which is 9% lower than the national average.
The Golden Eagles are also far from a good rebounding team. They rank 277th in offensive rebound rate and 273rd in defensive rebounding rate.
These mismatches present an opportunity for da Silva to outperform his season averages in both categories.
Plus, this combined total has proven to be too low for him. Da Silva has surpassed this mark in 61% of games this season. That gives us implied odds of -156, which is double the current price.
Pick: Tristan da Silva Over 6.5 Rebounds +Assists (-125)
Clemson vs. Baylor
Ja'Kobe Walter
Over 3.5 Rebounds (-136)
Next, we head to an intriguing matchup between the Baylor Bears and the Clemson Tigers. Here, we're going to focus on Baylor's Ja'Kobe Walter because this line is a mistake.
Despite being a guard, Walter is involved on the glass at at 6-foot-5. He averaged 4.4 rebounds per game this season, and four appears to be the magic number when analyzing this price.
Walter has recorded at least four rebounds in 68% of games this season. That means he has implied odds of -213 to go over again.
The BetRivers price on this is about 30 cents lower than the rest of the market, so I'd advise taking it there. However, if you don't want to pay -160, FanDuel has his over at 4.5 for +112, which is a fair price given his 47% hit rate on that number.
Our Action Labs projections like both plays, slating Walker for 4.8 rebounds in this matchup.
Pick: Ja'Kobe Walter Over 3.5 Rebounds (-136)
Yale vs. San Diego State
Bez Mbeng
Over 7.5 Points (-120)
The market has greatly overreacted to the Yale Bulldogs' matchup against the San Diego State Aztecs.
Yes, this game will be played fairly slowly and the Aztecs are a tremendous defensive club, but that does not diminish Bez Mbeng's ability to get over this number for Yale.
During the year, Mbeng averaged 9.3 shot attempts per game, which means that even at Yale's languid pace, his volume shouldn't decrease here. Mbeng has exceeded this number 72% of the time this season, equating to implied odds of -257.
Also, our Action Labs projections love Mbeng today, as they have him slated for 10.1 points. That makes this over one of the biggest edges on the slate.
