Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Odds
| Pittsburgh Odds | +2.5 |
| Mississippi State Odds | -2.5 |
| Over/Under | 133.5 |
| Date | Tuesday, March 14 |
| Time | 9:10 p.m. ET |
| How to Watch | truTV |
| Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday | |
The start of March Madness is upon us, and while there are plenty of Cinderellas in the making, one of them has been the true bell of the ball – for bettors, at least.
If you had tailed the Pittsburgh Panthers against the spread this season, you'd have backed the most profitable side out of any team in March Madness right now.
The Panthers were an NCAA Tournament-best 22-10 ATS. For reference, Pitt's opponent on Tuesday night, Mississippi State, is 16-16-1 on the season, indicating the bookmakers were generally correct at pricing the Bulldogs this year.
So, the market has underrated Pitt all season. But Mississippi State is the far better team, according to the advanced metrics. KenPom regards the Bulldogs as the 49th-best team in the nation overall while Pittsburgh lingers at 77th.
Since the New Year, the two teams have been far more similar, according to Bart Torvik’s T-Rankings. Miss State ranks 72nd in the nation while Pitt is 86th, according to that metric.
With those datasets in mind, the Action Network has developed a betting system with a 58% win rate since 2005 that targets exclusively NCAA Tournament games and their spreads.
The betting system has a 14% ROI since then. Which side is it on tonight?
