Texas A&M vs Iowa State Odds, Pick
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 135.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Iowa State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 135.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Below, we have Texas A&M vs Iowa State odds and a pick, including an NCAAB betting guide for Sunday, Nov. 26.
Even though Iowa State and Texas A&M didn't get to the finals of the ESPN Events Invitational, these two teams meet on Sunday for a top-25 KenPom matchup.
Iowa State looks similar to last season, playing at a slow pace with a top-10 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Cyclones are also experts when it comes to turning opponents over.
Texas A&M has one of the best players in the nation in Wade Taylor IV. Taylor put up 35 points (5-for-8 from downtown) on FAU in the semifinals.
In addition to that, the Aggies are much stronger on the offensive end (top-five in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency). That said, they work to find the shot they need, much like Iowa State.
With that being the case, neither of these teams will be pushing the tempo.
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies have had the 53rd-ranked strength of schedule, according KenPom. They have three top-100 wins, with their lone loss coming against Florida Atlantic.
Texas A&M ranks first in offensive rebounding rate, but Iowa State can cut into this rate. The Cyclones rank eighth in holding opponents to only 20.4% on the glass on the offensive end.
Despite Taylor’s impressive semifinal performance, Texas A&M is particularly weak from 3-point distance. The Aggies are shooting 29.5% as a unit and rank 262nd in 3-point attempt rate. Outside of Taylor, Hayden Hefner is the only deep threat for the Aggies.
Defending the 3 is one of the only weaknesses Iowa State has on the defensive end.
A hindrance to the under in this game is Iowa State's tendency to foul. The Clones rank 255th in free-throw attempt rate on defense.
That said, even though Texas A&M is manufacturing 20.7% of its points this season from the strike, it only ranks 165th in free-throw attempt rate.
Henry Coleman III and Taylor will draw fouls, but it could stop there. Coleman is also questionable, so if he's not on the floor — or is somewhat hobbled by his ankle injury — this is an edge to the under.
Iowa State Cyclones
As stated above, Iowa State has consistently turned over opponents dating back to last season. The Cyclones rank first in turnover rate on defense (28.1%).
However, Texas A&M doesn't turn the ball over. The Aggies rank 20th in offensive turnover rate (13%). On defense, the Aggies won't force many turnovers (298th), so Iowa State should maintain control over the ball.
Iowa State doesn't launch many 3s, as it ranks 337th in 3-point attempt rate on offense. The Clones rank 41st in 2-point percentage at 56.4% and 32nd in points per possession at the rim.
On the other hand, A&M is strong when it comes to defending the interior, as it ranks 27th in shots allowed at the rim. The Aggies rank 301st in 3-point attempt rate defensively, but since Iowa State doesn't launch many treys, this shouldn't come into play much in this one.
Finally, Iowa State ranks 207th in Adjusted Tempo, per KenPom. The Cyclones average 16.4 seconds per possession on offense and 19.3 seconds per possession on defense.
A&M will slow the Cyclones down on offense, though, as the Aggies rank 331st in Adjusted Tempo, averaging 18.1 seconds per possession on offense and 18.6 on defense.
Texas A&M vs. Iowa State
Betting Pick & Prediction
Iowa State and Texas A&M are both slow teams, even if the Aggies are weaker on the defensive end.
Iowa State doesn't shoot enough 3s to cut into Texas A&M’s most looming detriment.
The Clones usually speed up offensively, but the Aggies will ensure the tempo remains slow on both ends of the floor.
Look for each team to eat up much of the clock and for this game to go under the total. Take it from 137.5 to 135.
Pick: Under 138.5 (Play to 135)
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