2024-25 NFL MVP Odds Tracker: Lines for the NFL's Biggest Stars

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PlayerOdds
Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs+400
Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills+800
C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans+850
Joe Burrow - Cincinnati Bengals+900
Jalen Hurts - Philadelphia Eagles+1000
Brock Purdy - San Francisco 49ers+1400
Lamar Jackson - Baltimore Ravens+1800
Aaron Rodgers - New York Jets+1800
Tua Tagovailoa - Miami Dolphins+2200
Jared Goff - Detroit Lions+2200
Dak Prescott - Dallas Cowboys+2500
Trevor Lawrence - Jacksonville Jaguars+3000
Matthew Stafford - Los Angeles Rams+3300
Anthony Richardson - Indianapolis Colts+3300
Justin Herbert - Los Angeles Chargers+3300
Kirk Cousins - Atlanta Falcons+3500
Christian McCaffrey - San Francisco 49ers+4000
Caleb Williams - Chicago Bears+4000
Jordan Love - Green Bay Packers+5000
Kyler Murray - Arizona Cardinals+5500
Tyreek Hill - Miami Dolphins+6000
Saquon Barkley - Philadelphia Eagles+7500
Deshaun Watson - Cleveland Browns+7500
Baker Mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers+7500
Russell Wilson - Pittsburgh Steelers+11000
Geno Smith - Seattle Seahawks+12500
Justin Fields - Pittsburgh Steelers+12500
Justin Jefferson - Minnesota Vikings+12500
Daniel Jones - New York Giants+15000
Jayden Daniels - Washington Commanders+15000

 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook, updated in real-time. Confused? Learn more about how American odds work.

A quarterback’s been named MVP 11 years in a row and all but once over the past 18. So, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the top 18 favorites to win it this year are all QBs.

Patrick Mahomes tops the list as he looks to win the third MVP of his career as he previously won it in 2018 and 2022. He’d become the seventh player to win at least three, joining Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Brett Favre, Jim Brown and Johnny Unitas.

Lamar Jackson can also join that elite list if he can win the award in back-to-back years. The reigning MVP also captured it in 2019. However, he’s tied for just the eighth best odds heading into the year.

Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers could tie Peyton Manning for the most MVPs with five should he win it this season. He was previously named MVP in 2011, 2014, 2020 and 2021.

CJ Stroud boasts the second-best odds to win the award after being named last year’s Rookie of the Year. He’s followed by Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Brock Purdy, Jalen Hurts, Jordan Love and Jared Goff who are all looking for their first MVP awards.

Christian McCaffrey has the best odds of any non-quarterback. He’d join Adrian Peterson (2012), LaDainian Tomlinson (2006), Shaun Alexander (2005) and Marshall Faulk (2000) as running backs to win the award over the past 25 years.

Meanwhile, Tyreek Hill has the best odds of any wide receiver to win MVP and would become the first wideout to ever win the award. Micah Parsons has the best odds of any defensive player. He’d join Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) as the only defensive players to do so.

2024-25 NFL MVP Odds Comparison

Compare odds for NFL MVP across all major U.S. sportsbooks.

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Patrick MahomesP.Mahomes
+450
N/A
+400
+475
+350
+450
C.J. StroudC.Stroud
+850
N/A
+850
+800
+1200
+1000
Josh AllenJ.Allen
+850
N/A
+800
+900
+800
+900
Joe BurrowJ.Burrow
+950
N/A
+900
+950
+1000
+800
Jalen HurtsJ.Hurts
+1000
N/A
+1000
+1200
+1000
+1000
Lamar JacksonL.Jackson
+1700
N/A
+1800
+1700
+1600
+1400
Brock PurdyB.Purdy
+1800
N/A
+1400
+2000
+1600
+1600
Aaron RodgersA.Rodgers
+1800
N/A
+1800
+1800
+2000
+2000
Dak PrescottD.Prescott
+2000
N/A
+2500
+2000
+2000
+1800
Jared GoffJ.Goff
+2200
N/A
+2200
+2000
+2500
+2200
Jordan LoveJ.Love
+2336
N/A
+5000
+1500
+7500
+5000
Tua TagovailoaT.Tagovailoa
+2500
N/A
+2200
+2500
+2000
+2500
Trevor LawrenceT.Lawrence
+3000
N/A
+3000
+3000
+3000
+2500
Matthew StaffordM.Stafford
+3000
N/A
+3300
+3000
+3000
+3000
Justin HerbertJ.Herbert
+3300
N/A
+3300
+3500
+3000
+1700
Anthony RichardsonA.Richardson
+3500
N/A
+3300
+3500
+4000
+3300
Kirk CousinsK.Cousins
+3500
N/A
+3500
+3500
+3000
+3300
Caleb WilliamsC.Williams
+4500
N/A
+4000
+4500
+5000
+4000
Christian McCaffreyC.McCaffrey
+5000
N/A
+4000
+6000
+5000
+5000
Kyler MurrayK.Murray
+5000
N/A
+5500
+5000
+5000
+5000
Deshaun WatsonD.Watson
+7500
N/A
+7500
+7500
+7500
+5000
Saquon BarkleyS.Barkley
+10000
N/A
+7500
+10000
+20000
+10000
Tyreek HillT.Hill
+10000
N/A
+6000
+10000
+10000
+8000
Baker MayfieldB.Mayfield
+10000
N/A
+7500
+10000
+10000
+8000
Geno SmithG.Smith
+10000
N/A
+12500
+10000
+10000
+10000
Russell WilsonR.Wilson
+11000
N/A
+11000
+10000
+15000
+10000
Justin JeffersonJ.Jefferson
+12500
N/A
+12500
+13000
+10000
+10000
Sam DarnoldS.Darnold
+13344
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+10000
Jayden DanielsJ.Daniels
+15000
N/A
+15000
+15000
+20000
+12500
Ja'Marr ChaseJ.Chase
+15000
N/A
+15000
+15000
+15000
+15000
CeeDee LambC.Lamb
+15000
N/A
+17500
+15000
+15000
+20000
Derek CarrD.Carr
+15000
N/A
+17500
+15000
+15000
+12500
Will LevisW.Levis
+15000
N/A
+15000
+15000
+10000
+12500
Daniel JonesD.Jones
+15000
N/A
+15000
+20000
+15000
+15000
Bryce YoungB.Young
+15000
N/A
+15000
+15000
+15000
+10000
Drake MayeD.Maye
+18000
N/A
+15000
+18000
+30000
+15000
T.J. WattT.Watt
+20000
N/A
+17500
+20000
+30000
+15000
Myles GarrettM.Garrett
+20000
N/A
+22500
+20000
+20000
+10000
Micah ParsonsM.Parsons
+20000
N/A
+20000
+20000
+20000
+10000
Sam HowellS.Howell
+20000
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
N/A
Kyren WilliamsK.Williams
+20000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+30000
+15000
Jonathan TaylorJ.Taylor
+20000
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
+15000
Desmond RidderD.Ridder
+21177
N/A
+22500
+20000
N/A
N/A
Breece HallB.Hall
+22223
N/A
+30000
+20000
N/A
+20000
Nick BosaN.Bosa
+22223
N/A
+25000
+20000
+30000
+15000
Jacoby BrissettJ.Brissett
+25000
N/A
N/A
+25000
+20000
N/A
Justin FieldsJ.Fields
+25000
N/A
+12500
+25000
+30000
+10000
Gardner MinshewG.Minshew
+25000
N/A
+50000
+25000
+20000
N/A
Bo NixB.Nix
+25000
N/A
+25000
+15000
+30000
+15000
Kenny PickettK.Pickett
+25000
N/A
+25000
+25000
N/A
N/A
Cooper KuppC.Kupp
+25000
N/A
+25000
+25000
+30000
+15000
Bijan RobinsonB.Robinson
+25000
N/A
+25000
+25000
+20000
+15000
A.J. BrownA.Brown
+25000
N/A
+25000
+25000
+30000
+50000
Ryan TannehillR.Tannehill
+25000
N/A
N/A
+25000
N/A
N/A
Puka NacuaP.Nacua
+25000
N/A
+25000
+30000
+20000
+15000
Maxx CrosbyM.Crosby
+25000
N/A
+25000
+20000
+30000
+15000
Derrick HenryD.Henry
+25000
N/A
+25000
+25000
+30000
+15000
Deebo SamuelD.Samuel
+25000
N/A
+25000
+20000
+30000
+25000
DJ MooreD.Moore
+27274
N/A
+30000
+25000
+40000
N/A
Michael PenixM.Penix
+27274
N/A
+25000
N/A
+30000
N/A
Amon-Ra St. BrownA.St. Brown
+30000
N/A
+30000
+25000
+30000
+15000
Jimmy GaroppoloJ.Garoppolo
+30000
N/A
+32500
+30000
N/A
N/A
Stefon DiggsS.Diggs
+30000
N/A
+30000
+30000
+30000
+25000
Marvin HarrisonM.Harrison
+30000
N/A
N/A
+30000
N/A
N/A
Nico CollinsN.Collins
+30000
N/A
+50000
+30000
N/A
N/A
Nick ChubbN.Chubb
+30000
N/A
+30000
+30000
+20000
N/A
Davante AdamsD.Adams
+30000
N/A
+30000
+40000
+30000
+20000
Raheem MostertR.Mostert
+30000
N/A
+30000
+40000
+30000
N/A
Jahmyr GibbsJ.Gibbs
+30000
N/A
+30000
+25000
+30000
+20000
Amari CooperA.Cooper
+30000
N/A
+30000
+30000
N/A
N/A
Brandon AiyukB.Aiyuk
+30000
N/A
+30000
+30000
N/A
N/A
De'Von AchaneD.Achane
+30000
N/A
+30000
+30000
+30000
+15000
Garrett WilsonG.Wilson
+35000
N/A
+30000
+35000
+40000
+25000
Mark AndrewsM.Andrews
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
N/A
Josh Hines-AllenJ.Hines-Allen
+40000
N/A
N/A
+40000
N/A
N/A
Jarrett StidhamJ.Stidham
+40000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+40000
N/A
Courtland SuttonC.Sutton
+40000
N/A
+100000
+40000
N/A
N/A
Chris OlaveC.Olave
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
N/A
Austin EkelerA.Ekeler
+40000
N/A
+30000
+40000
N/A
+20000
Alvin KamaraA.Kamara
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
+25000
Aidan HutchinsonA.Hutchinson
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+30000
N/A
Kenneth WalkerK.Walker
+40000
N/A
+30000
+40000
N/A
+25000
Zay FlowersZ.Flowers
+40000
N/A
+30000
+40000
N/A
+30000
Travis KelceT.Kelce
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+30000
+15000
Tee HigginsT.Higgins
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
N/A
Sauce GardnerS.Gardner
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
N/A
Sam LaPortaS.LaPorta
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+30000
N/A
Roquan SmithR.Smith
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
N/A
Rashee RiceR.Rice
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
+25000
Mike EvansM.Evans
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
+30000
Keenan AllenK.Allen
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
+20000
Josh JacobsJ.Jacobs
+40000
N/A
+30000
+40000
N/A
+25000
Jaylon JohnsonJ.Johnson
+40000
N/A
N/A
+40000
N/A
N/A
George KittleG.Kittle
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+30000
+50000
Drake LondonD.London
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
N/A
DK MetcalfD.Metcalf
+40000
N/A
+50000
+40000
+40000
+50000
DeAndre HopkinsD.Hopkins
+40000
N/A
N/A
+40000
+40000
+100000
Trey HendricksonT.Hendrickson
+40000
N/A
N/A
+40000
+40000
N/A
Devon WitherspoonD.Witherspoon
+40000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+40000
N/A
Derek StingleyD.Stingley
+40000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+40000
N/A
Aidan O'ConnellA.O'Connell
+41180
N/A
+35000
+50000
+30000
N/A
Isiah PachecoI.Pacheco
+44446
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
+25000
Will AndersonW.Anderson
+44446
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
+30000
Jaylen WaddleJ.Waddle
+44446
N/A
+50000
N/A
+40000
N/A
Brian ThomasB.Thomas
+50000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Travis EtienneT.Etienne
+50000
N/A
+75000
+50000
N/A
+15000
Christian KirkC.Kirk
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Chris JonesC.Jones
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
+40000
N/A
Aaron JonesA.Jones
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
+40000
+25000
Terry McLaurinT.McLaurin
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
+40000
N/A
James ConnerJ.Conner
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
+50000
Tony PollardT.Pollard
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
+30000
+30000
Tank DellT.Dell
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Rachaad WhiteR.White
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
+40000
+25000
Najee HarrisN.Harris
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
Michael PittmanM.Pittman
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
+40000
N/A
Hollywood BrownM.Brown
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
James CookJ.Cook
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
+30000
Jake FergusonJ.Ferguson
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
George PickensG.Pickens
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
+40000
N/A
Gabe DavisG.Davis
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Fred WarnerF.Warner
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
+40000
N/A
Malik NabersM.Nabers
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
Rome OdunzeR.Odunze
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
Calvin RidleyC.Ridley
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
+50000
Rhamondre StevensonR.Stevenson
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
+50000
D'Andre SwiftD.Swift
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
+25000
DeVonta SmithD.Smith
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
David MontgomeryD.Montgomery
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
Devin SingletaryD.Singletary
+50000
N/A
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
Christian WatsonC.Watson
+50000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Zach WilsonZ.Wilson
+50000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Joey BosaJ.Bosa
+50000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Bailey ZappeB.Zappe
+50000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
T.J. HockensonT.Hockenson
+75000
N/A
+75000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Danielle HunterD.Hunter
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
+40000
N/A
Dalton KincaidD.Kincaid
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Chuba HubbardC.Hubbard
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Romeo DoubsR.Doubs
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Quinnen WilliamsQ.Williams
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Pat SurtainP.Surtain
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Kobie TurnerK.Turner
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Jaylen WarrenJ.Warren
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
+100000
Jalen RamseyJ.Ramsey
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Jalen CarterJ.Carter
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Jaire AlexanderJ.Alexander
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Haason ReddickH.Reddick
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
+50000
Dexter LawrenceD.Lawrence
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
David NjokuD.Njoku
+100000
N/A
+100000
+100000
N/A
N/A
Joe MixonJ.Mixon
+100000
N/A
+80000
+100000
N/A
+25000
DaRon BlandD.Bland
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
Brock BowersB.Bowers
+100000
N/A
+100000
+100000
N/A
N/A

How to Win NFL MVP

So you want to win NFL MVP -- or if you're reading this, you want to corretly bet the NFL MVP? Here's how to do it:

The Positions

Does the award gravitate toward a certain position?

This is a quarterback award, unless a running back posts an insane season.

The last time a non-QB or RB won was Lawrence Taylor in 1986. Kicker Mark Moseley won in the strike-shortened 1982 season, which is hilarious. DT Alan Page won in 1971. Those are the only three non-quarterbacks or running backs.

A wide receiver has never won.

And 10 of the 18 running backs that did win happened before 1980.

It's a quarterback award.

The Voting

How does the voting work?

Who votes: A nationwide panel of media votes on the award. The NFL uses the AP's award as its official one, though several other outlets also give it out.

How many votes: Voters pick one player, so there are only 50 total ballots.

When do they vote? End of the regular season.

Any voting biases? It doesn't seem like it.

How many players get votes? Very few. Just 30 total players have received a vote in the past 10 years, and in many years, it's just two players. There isn't a ton of controversy around the winner.

The Narrative

Does a player need some "positive narrative" in their favor to win?

Not really. It's mostly about on-field performance.

The player doesn't have to be loved by the media. Nor does he need to have a feel-good story. Aaron Rodgers has won twice in a row after all.

The "carrying the team on his back" narrative can help a bit, if the perception is that the player brought the team much further than expected with little help around him.

Adrian Peterson for example helped get the Vikings to the postseason in 2012 with the second-most rushing yards ever in a season. Christian Ponder was their quarterback.

The Stats

What kinds of stats do voters care about?

Stats very much matter.

But the weird thing is that touchdowns (and TD/INT ratio) seem to matter the most.

Advanced stats like QBR seem somewhat predictive of the winner, but voters for most awards are focused on raw, easily quantifiable stats like TDs and INTs.

Passing yards don't seem to matter quite as much either, as long as the quarterback is among the league leaders.

Past NFL MVPs

MVP  Year
Lamar Jackson 2023-24
Patrick Mahomes 2022-23
Aaron Rodgers 2021-22
Aaron Rodgers 2020-21
Lamar Jackson 2019-20
Patrick Mahomes 2018-19
Tom Brady 2017-18
Matt Ryan 2016-17
Cam Newton 2015-16
Aaron Rodgers 2014-15
Peyton Manning 2013-14
Adrian Peterson 2012-13
Aaron Rodgers 2011-12
Tom Brady 2010-11
Peyton Manning 2009-10
Peyton Manning 2008-09
Tom Brady 2007-08
LaDainian Tomlinson 2006-07
Shaun Alexander 2005-06
Peyton Manning 2004-05
Peyton Manning 2003-04
Steve McNair 2003-04
Rich Gannon 2002-03
Kurt Warner 2001-02
Marshall Faulk 2000-01
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