Compare odds for 2024-25 NFL win totals across all major U.S. sportsbooks.

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If there were a clear blueprint for betting anything, including NFL win totals, we'd all be retired on a beach somewhere.

But generally, unders are going to be better bets than overs, per research from our Evan Abrams.

• In 2021, if you added up every preseason win total, the total wins in the market equaled 277 wins — the league itself had 272 regular season games. Between 2018 and 2020, with a 16-game schedule, the average total wins in the preseason market was 260.8 (with it being its highest in 2020 at 262.5) — the sport itself had 256 regular season games
• For reference, since the 277 figure in 2021, we've seen 272.5 in 2022, 273 in 2023 and 273 this season — which is much more in line with the total wins for the season.

There have been some poor trends for teams with double-digit win totals. Since 1990, only 40% (79 of the 195 teams) with double-digit win totals have exceeded their number. The most alarming aspect of that 42.7% is the fact that those teams have gone under their win total by .63 wins.

This season, there are also nine teams listed with a double-digit win total:

• Kansas City Chiefs (11.5): The Chiefs have gone under their win total in two of the last three years. They were over in eight straight prior to that stretch. Under Andy Reid, the Chiefs are 9-2 to their win total over and Reid overall is 18-6-1 to his win total over with the Chiefs and Eagles.
• San Francisco 49ers (11.5): The 49ers win total of 11.5 is tied for their highest win total since 1996 (12). Under Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers are 4-3 to their win total over.
• Baltimore Ravens (11): Ravens had gone under their win total in three straight years entering last year (their longest streak since 1996-98) before they broke the streak winning 13 games. Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 9-6-1 to their win total over.
• Buffalo Bills (10.5): In seven seasons under Sean McDermott, the Bills are 6-1 to their win total over. His only under came in 2021 when Buffalo's win total was set at 11.5 and the Bills won 11 games after winning their final four games of the regular season.
• Cincinnati Bengals (10.5): The Bengals had their first double-digit win total since 1989 last season and are now in line to do it again. This will be Joe Burrow's 5th season with the Bengals and Cincinnati's win total has increased each year: 5.5, 6.5, 9.5, 11, and 11.5.
• Dallas Cowboys (10.5): Dallas has gone over their win total in 3 straight seasons, which is the first time it's done that since 1990-95 (6 straight seasons). Over the last 20 years, the Cowboys have the highest average win total for teams to not win a Super Bowl: 9.2.
• Detroit Lions (10.5): The Lions win total is 10.5 this year. They were the only NFL team without a double-digit win total in the Wild Card era (since 1990) entering 2024.
• Philadelphia Eagles (10.5): The Eagles will have a double-digit win total for the third straight year this season, they haven't done that since 2003-05. Double-digit win totals haven't been kind to Philly — they've gone under their win total in 7 of the last 8 seasons they had a double-digit win total.
• Green Bay Packers (10): In fifteen seasons with Aaron Rodgers as their starting QB, the Packers went 7-8 on their win total over. In Jordan Love's first season last year, Green Bay went over their win total of 7.5.

Previous NFL Win Totals, 2021-2023