Flyers vs. Canadiens Odds
| Flyers Odds | -160 |
| Canadiens Odds | +135 |
| Over / Under | 6 -110/ -110 |
Here's everything you need to know about the Philadelphia Flyers vs. Montreal Canadiens on Thursday, March 28 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
The Philadelphia Flyers and Montreal Canadiens are set to face off in a NHL clash that showcases two very different teams playing for very different reasons. With this game taking place in Montreal, the Canadiens (27-32-12) have the advantage of home ice, but this gritty Flyers team (36-27-10) will be looking to prevail on the road.
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia has shown an impressive level of play this season as it ranks eighth in Corsi metrics, showcasing its ability to control puck possession and generate shots.
Its offensive game, while ranked 16th in expected goals (xG), has been bolstered by its aptitude for creating high-danger chances (11th). This ability to threaten the net has been a key component of the Flyers' strategy, even as they've faced challenges in converting these opportunities into consistent scoring.
Defensively, the Flyers have maintained a solid stance, ranking eighth in xG Against and showing competence in limiting high-danger opportunities from opponents. However, the performance of tonight’s starting goaltender Samuel Ersson has been a mixed bag, with his save percentage and goals saved above expected indicating areas of vulnerability that Montreal could exploit.
Montreal Canadiens
On the flip side, the Canadiens have been unable to find their footing this season, with their offensive and defensive metrics painting a picture of a team struggling with efficiency on both ends of the ice. Their Corsi and xG numbers place them near the bottom of the league, highlighting difficulties in controlling play and creating meaningful scoring chances.
The Canadiens' defense has not fared much better, struggling to suppress high-quality shots from opponents, placing additional pressure on tonight’s starting goaltender Cayden Primeau. Despite these challenges, Primeau's performance offers a glimmer of hope, with his save percentage (19th) and goals saved above expected (26th) ranking respectably, suggesting that he could be a critical factor in keeping Montreal competitive in this matchup.
Flyers vs. Canadiens
Betting Pick & Prediction
Considering the statistical analysis and advanced metrics in this matchup, the best bet appears to be the Flyers moneyline at -160 odds.
Despite Philadelphia’s goaltending concerns, its superior puck possession, ability to generate high-danger chances and a significantly stronger defensive profile positions it as a major favorite against the hapless Canadiens. The game being in Montreal could influence the dynamics, but the Flyers' overall performance metrics suggest they have a massive edge in this encounter.
The Canadiens have scored the fifth-fewest goals and have allowed the eighth-most goals this season. To summarize, Montreal is a bottom-feeder and the Flyers are fighting for postseason positioning, so take the Flyers moneyline and expect a dominant performance.
Pick: Flyers Moneyline (-160)
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