Stars vs. Avalanche Odds
| Stars Odds | +115 |
| Avalanche Odds | -135 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 -115o / -105u |
Here's everything you need to know about the Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche on Tuesday, February 27 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
Tonight’s Central Division matchup between the Dallas Stars (35-16-9) and Colorado Avalanche (35-19-5) is a potential playoff preview. The clash between Dallas' high-powered offense and Colorado's star-studded attack should amount to an intriguing battle.
Let's dig into the NHL odds and make a Stars vs. Avalanche prediction and pick.
Dallas Stars
The Stars have been an offensive juggernaut this season. Their underlying numbers suggest they consistently control the puck and generate scoring opportunities. Ranked third in Corsi, fifth in expected goals (xG) and fourth in high-danger chances, Dallas has proven to be capable of creating shots from dangerous areas.
However, the Stars’ defensive numbers suggest some minor vulnerabilities. They rank 20th in Corsi Against, but they allow a minimal number of high-danger chances, ranking sixth in that area. The performance of starting goalie Jake Oettinger, who ranks 38th in save percentage above expected and 40th in goals saved above expected, indicates he could be susceptible to the Avalanache's potent attack.
Colorado Avalanche
The Avalanche boast a more balanced profile, with their offense and defense both contributing to their success. Offensively, they rank 10th in Corsi and sixth in high-danger chances. It's worth noting, though, that they rank just 18th in xG.
Defensively, their metrics are solid, ranking 11th in Corsi Against, xG Against and high-danger chances against. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev ranks 25th in goals saved above expected, indicating he can make crucial saves when needed.
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Stars vs. Avalanche
Betting Pick & Prediction
Given the Stars' offensive firepower and the Avalanche's ability to capitalize on high-danger chances, Over 6.5 goals is the best bet for this matchup.
Both teams' goaltending vulnerabilities lay the groundwork for a high-scoring affair. The Stars' tendency to allow high-danger chances could be particularly problematic, especially on the second night of a back-to-back, against an Avalanche side that can exploit such opportunities.
Moreover, these two teams have hit the over more than anyone this season. The Avalanche are the No. 1 "over team" this season, going over the total 61% of the time, while the Stars hold the No. 2 spot at 60%.
With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, the urgency could lead to more aggressive plays and, consequently, more scoring chances.
Betting Over 6.5 goals not only aligns with the statistical analysis of both teams' performance this season but also takes into account the narrative-driven elements of the game, including goaltending concerns and the high offensive potential of both squads.
This is the third meeting between these teams this season, with each of the first two games seeing exactly nine goals. Take Over 6.5 tonight and expect a high-scoring affair.
Pick: Over 6.5 Goals
