Check out a Tony Sartori's Oilers vs. Panthers prediction with a same-game parlay for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final on Tuesday, June 18.
A possible series-ending Game 5 will get underway Tuesday night (8 p.m. ET, ABC & ESPN+) at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, with the Florida Panthers facing the Edmonton Oilers. The Panthers return south of the border with a 3-1 lead in the best-of-seven series.
The latest Oilers vs. Panthers odds have Florida priced as a moderate -135 favorite while the over/under is set at 5.5 for the clash.
Find out my Game 5 prediction and tail my +192 same-game parlay (SGP) at FanDuel for tonight's big game.
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Oilers vs. Panthers Prediction: Same-Game Parlay for Game 5
My Oilers vs. Panthers same-game parlay for Game 5 tonight is a three-legger, and focuses on a team total, a player prop and a side:
- Edmonton Oilers Under 2.5 Goals (-102)
- Aleksander Barkov 1+ Points (-186)
- Florida Panthers Moneyline (-137)
Edmonton Oilers Under 2.5 Goals (-102)
The Edmonton Oilers had their best game of the series on home ice for their fans in Game 4 with a dominating 8-1 victory. However, this was a moral victory more than anything else as we typically see en route to a gentlemen's sweep.
This series is still over, and while Edmonton had its nice moment in Game 4, Florida is likely to respond and close this thing out in Game 5. Bobrovsky allowed five goals on 16 shots before getting chased last time out, and that is just simply not something that is going to occur in back-to-back games.
In fact, the exact same thing happened in Games 3 and 4 of the Eastern Conference Final against the New York Rangers. They blitzed Bobrovsky in Game 3, scoring five goals on just 23 shots en route to a 5-4 victory.
How did Bobrovsky and Florida respond in Game 4? With a 3-2 victory, which also occurred on home ice.
Prior to Game 4 of the Cup Final, Bobrovsky surrendered two or fewer goals in five of his previous six starts, and I expect to get back into form on home ice in Game 5.
Aleksander Barkov 1+ Points (-192)
Florida's captain has been, by far, the most important player in this series outside of Bobrovsky (and there is an argument to be made that he has been just as important).
Not only has he, for the most part, done a terrific job in shadowing Connor McDavid, but Barkov has also been a force offensively.
Barkov leads the team in points this postseason with 21 through 21 games. That success is likely to continue against Edmonton, a team he has recorded 10 points against over the past eight meetings.
Florida Panthers Moneyline (-137)
If we are backing the Oilers to score two or fewer goals while simultaneously backing Barkov to find the scoresheet for Florida, then a highly correlated outcome would be for the Panthers to also win the game and hoist the Cup. Simply put, Florida is the better team across the board, which is why the Panthers boast a commanding 3-1 series lead.
They're deeper offensively and better defensively, in net and behind the bench. At 5-on-5 this postseason, the Panthers rank higher than the Oilers in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60), expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) and expected goal differential per 60 minutes.
Bobrovsky is also substantially better than Stuart Skinner (despite what we saw in Game 4). In his six starts prior to Game 4, Bobrovsky was 6-0 with a commanding .944 SV% and 1.50 GAA.
The Prediction: Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5 SGP (+192 at FanDuel)
