Flames leaking goals lately – 3.4 GA/G over last 5, way above season average. Kraken scoring 3.2 goals per game in that stretch, trending up. Calgary also just 74.3% on PK, Kraken can exploit with 37 PPG this season. Both goalies under .900 SV% last 5 – favors chaos. Seattle’s recent win over Calgary (3-2 on 2/8) came in Calgary – proven road edge here. Flames dropped 2 of last 3 at home, outscored 10-6 in those losses. Kraken holding steady at 14 road wins – not elite, but enough. Jared McCann heating up again – 48 pts in 70 GP. Flames missing key pieces – Backlund & Weegar questionable, weakens defense + leadership. Kraken penalty kill stronger (76.5% vs 74.3%), could be key in close game. Momentum edge to Seattle after 6-2 win vs Chicago.

Cavs just 1-4 in last 5 — only win vs tanking Jazz. Mitchell OUT, Mobley iffy. Portland 4-2 on homestand, beat Denver & Memphis, hung 129 on Boston. Blazers fighting for play-in, Cavs cruising to playoffs. Spot edge + motivation spike = value on the points. Blazers also covered 6 of last 8 overall. Cleveland allowed 121.5 PPG during 4-game skid. Opponents hitting 48.2% from field, 39.7% from deep in that span — perimeter defense slipping. Trail Blazers 13th in 3PM/game, 7th in Offensive Rebound%. 2nd-chance points + rhythm shots = cover potential. Cavs' pace dropped in March — matchup risk. Shaedon Sharpe heating up — back-to-back 23-point games. Blazers scored 129 in last matchup vs Cavs (OT loss). Cavs wrapping 5-game road trip, legs tired. Portland 20-17 at home, last 3 losses all vs playoff teams. Simons expected to play — major boost. Portland has covered 3 straight vs East teams.

Blowout incoming? OKC just dropped 144 on Sacramento last time out — 53% FG, +33 rebound margin. Thunder lead NBA in scoring (119.8 PPG), rank top 5 in FG% and 3P%. Kings giving up 119.2 PPG last 5 games, 50.7% FG allowed. Defense falling apart. Thunder allowing just 103.8 PPG over last 5 — elite. Sacramento’s home D? Awful: 115.3 PPG, 47.3% FG, 39.1% from deep. OKC ranks 1st in Assist/TO (2.42), plays clean, efficient ball. Kings 2-6 ATS last 8, on a B2B off a 113-95 loss to Boston. Sacramento has no answer for SGA — 9 assists last meeting, team shot 53%. Thunder are 6-0 last 6, winning by avg margin of 17.7 PPG. Kings have now dropped 3 straight by double digits. Too fast, too deep, too clean.