Latest NCAAF Betting Picks

🚨 SPECIALITY DK MARKET Ole Miss To Score First, Miami (FL) To Win Game I was shocked to see this offered at this price point for a few reasons. The first is that Miami has been slow out of the starting blocks for much of the season (4.8 1Q ppg, 84th). And in the Canes' last four games, they’ve scored a grand total of 10 points in the first quarter. That is a scripting issue, plain and simple. Early offensive success continues to elude the Hurricanes. Ole Miss, meanwhile, is a microwave; they heat up in no time (7.5 1Q ppg, 21st). In the Rebels’ last four games, they’ve pumped in 44 first-quarter points, and Trindid Chambliss has been sharp as a tack. The former D-II national champion has completed 71.7% of his passes in the first quarter this season. Against Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, he led two scoring drives in the first quarter while completing 8-of-14 attempts for 65 yards. The other factor leading me to believe Ole Miss can strike first? Their kicker. All Chambliss and the offense need to do is get to the Miami (FL) 40-yard line, because Lucas Carneiro can bomb it in from anywhere inside of 60 yards. The future NFL placekicker is 27-for-30 on the year and an impressive 11-for-13 from 40-plus. In an ideal world, Ole Miss takes a 3-0 lead. Given the pregame odds, a live bet on Miami (FL) could be expected to payout anywhere from -110 to +120, at best. To get them at +330 would not only be a gift, but it could also provide a nice hedge opportunity if you wanted to back Ole Miss with a short lead at even odds. I have played Miami (FL) pregame at -3.5 (+100) and feel confident in the Hurricanes' ability to weather a few scoring flurries from Chambliss and company. My confidence in the Canes comes from their advantages in the trenches and their defensive coordinator's remarkable work this season. Corey Hetherman has been a step ahead of teams in the second half all season long. In UM’s biggest games against Notre Dame, Texas A&M, and Ohio State, Hetherman put on a coaching clinic in the third quarter, holding that trio nearly a full touchdown below their third-quarter scoring averages. He won’t need a lot of smoke and mirrors to get his defense off the field if their pass rushers come to play. Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor have been on the warpath, racking up nine tackles for loss during this playoff run. Trinidad Chambliss has looked nearly unflappable at times this season, but he was clearly bothered by disruptive fronts on two occasions (Wazzu, Florida). Wazzu rolled the dice and blitzed Chambliss 15 times, generating 11 pressures, while getting home for three sacks. Florida went hog wild and blitzed him 25 times, and it worked. The Gators sacked Chambliss five times on ten pressures. As a double-digit underdog, the underwhelming Gators team led Ole Miss in the fourth quarter, and Wazzu nearly pulled off a seismic upset, falling by 3 as 33-point underdogs. The point being, if you can consistently pressure Chambliss with four rushers or by dialing up the blitz, the Ole Miss offense can sputter. It’s difficult to thread the needle with a double result or exotic bet like this, but knowing what we know about these teams in the first and third quarters this season, at this price point, I’m adding it to my card.