Orioles vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2024

Orioles at Guardians

5:40 pm • MASN
9 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Gavin Williams logoG.WilliamsCleveland Guardians logo4.863-10
Corbin Burnes logoC.BurnesBaltimore Orioles logo2.9215-9

Orioles at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles
0-2
-1.5+130
o8-106
-128
Guardians
4-6
+1.5-155
u8-112
+109
location pinSunday 5:40 p.m.
August 04, 2024
Progressive FieldCleveland
Orioles vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
141d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
C.Cowser o1.5 Total Bases+140
0.7u
C.Cowser o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
142d ago
Last 30d: 288-275-8 (-3.4u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Hits Allowed-125
1u
Projected 4.54 Hits and +ev bet with value at this number
BAL -140 (F5)
0.71u
Burnes has a .250 wOBA on the road this season, Williams has a .373 wOBA at home this season, Orioles have a .341 wOBA vs RHP on the road this season, Guardians have a .309 wOBA vs RHP at home this season. Advantage Orioles
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
142d ago
Last 30d: 91-71-5 (+18.4u)
BAL -126
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
142d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Burnes o18.5 Outs+114
1u
Burnes is over in 7/L11, and 6/10 overall on the road. I like the matchup here for a few reasons. First - Burnes is excellent vs lefties (.187 BAA, .498 OPS). Guardians will start at least 5 lefties, which includes their best hitters at the top of the lineup (Kwan, Martinez, Ramirez, Naylor). And overall, the Guards have struggled vs righties - 78 wRC+ and .637 OPS the L30. And against the cutter (Burnes’ primary pitch), CLE is 29th in wRAA. Plus, CLE is is below avg in pitches per PA (24th overall - 3.82). Burnes is at 3.76 (39th lowest of 115 qualifiers).
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
142d ago
Last 30d: 62-69-1 (-10.3u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-160
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
142d ago
Last 30d: 126-95-6 (+15.2u)
CLE +122
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
142d ago
Last 30d: 26-40-0 (-2.9u)
CLE +129
0.5u
Bet to +117

PRO Insights

Orioles logo

Orioles

BAL Insights
  • Orioles logoThe Orioles have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (273 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings since last season -- third lowest in MLB (271 games).
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Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoThe Guardians are batting .382 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Orioles RPs with RISP over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Orioles vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

65%

Bets%

35%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27
Orioles
87-7541-4046-3561-5725-16

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4
Orioles
85-63-1440-32-945-31-560-45-1322-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33
Orioles
91-7144-3747-3468-5022-19

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 3rdBALL 4-7+1.5 LO 8.5BAL -102
Aug 2ndBALW 8-4+1.5 WO 9CLE -102
Aug 1stBALW 10-3+1.5 WO 9CLE -112
Jul 30th@DETW 5-0-1.5 WU 8CLE -135
Jul 29th@DETW 8-4-1.5 WO 7.5CLE -165

Guardians vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Shane Bieber
    P

    Bieber is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Orioles Injuries

  • Jorge Mateo
    IF

    Mateo is out with elbow

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    P

    Rodriguez is out with back

    Out

  • Tyler Wells
    P

    Wells is out with elbow

    Out

Orioles vs. Guardians Box Score
Orioles Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Corbin Burnes logoRC.Burnes, P92544
Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P150.200
Burch Smith logoRB.Smith, P110.200
Cionel Perez logoLC.Perez, P40.200
Yennier Cano logoRY.Cano, P13110
Seranthony Dominguez logoRS.Dominguez, P16110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Colton Cowser logo1C.Cowser, LF2-4300
Anthony Santander logo2A.Santander, RF1-4200
Gunnar Henderson logo3G.Henderson, SS3-4312
Ryan O'Hearn logo4R.O'Hearn, 1B1-3001
Ryan Mountcastle logo4R.Mountcastle, PH1-2001
Ryan Mountcastle logo4R.Mountcastle, 1B1-2001
Adley Rutschman logo5A.Rutschman, C2-4003
Eloy Jimenez logo6E.Jimenez, DH3-5001
Cedric Mullins logo7C.Mullins, CF0-4000
Coby Mayo logo8C.Mayo, 3B0-4000
Ramon Urias logo8R.Urias, 3B0-1000
Jackson Holliday logo9J.Holliday, 2B2-4111
Guardians Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Gavin Williams logoRG.Williams, P86486
Eli Morgan logoRE.Morgan, P18110
Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P120.212
Nick Sandlin logoRN.Sandlin, P100.110
Connor Gillispie logoRC.Gillispie, P55331
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF2-3201
Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, RF0-4000
Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B2-5100
Josh Naylor logo4J.Naylor, 1B1-4113
David Fry logo5D.Fry, DH0-4000
Andres Gimenez logo6A.Gimenez, 2B2-4000
Tyler Freeman logo7T.Freeman, CF1-4000
Tyler Freeman logo7T.Freeman, SS1-4000
Daniel Schneemann logo8D.Schneemann, SS1-2100
Angel Martinez logo8A.Martinez, PH1-2000
Angel Martinez logo8A.Martinez, CF1-2000
Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C0-2000
Jhonkensy Noel logo9J.Noel, PH0-1000
Bo Naylor logo9B.Naylor, C0-1000

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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Orioles at Guardians Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Orioles
0-2
o4.5+114
u4.5-145
Guardians
4-6
o3.5-110
u3.5-120