More from Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo's Picks
Today
Czechia +4.5 Runs-105
AUS
@
CZE
0.53u
03/06 3:00 AM
Bet to -140; tougher to cap Czech and Brazil floor so reduced risk
66
Pending
WBC Winner: Dominican Republic+460
0.5u
My WBC Futures Preview is live. Go read it!
https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/world-baseball-classic-picks-projections-zerillos-wbc-futures
Will post remaining WBC futures in App this afternoon.
93
Advance/Qualify from Pool A: Canada+110
1.25u
Best Bet. My WBC Futures Preview is live. Go read it!
https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/world-baseball-classic-picks-projections-zerillos-wbc-futures
Will post remaining WBC futures in App this afternoon.
95
Advance/Qualify from Pool A: Panama+350
0.35u
41
Advance/Qualify from Pool B: Italy+225
1u
53
Advance/Qualify from Pool C: Korea+110
0.75u
41
Advance/Qualify from Pool D: Nicaragua+2000
0.1u
45
Pool A Winner: Canada+360
0.5u
52
Pool C Winner: Korea+800
0.25u
37
Pool D Winner: Dominican Republic-143
0.72u
46
SF Giants’ NL West Finishing Position: 2nd+290
0.25u
Bet to +250
25
Futures
New York Islanders+10000
2025-26 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.05u
Added 11/22
10
New York Islanders+5000
2025-26 NHL Eastern Conference - To Win
0.1u
Added 11/22
13
New York Islanders (Yes)+120
2025-26 NHL To Make The Playoffs
0.25u
Entering a seven game homestand (added 11/22).
Athletic (always low on NYI) has them ~30% but four other public projections between 55%-75%. Homer bet too but things are falling into place for this team.
Sorokin finally getting back into form w/ new goalie coach. Superstar No. 1 pick joining Horvat+Barzal = 4 all-star calibre players. Shabanov maybe about to explode too. Depth to use in trades to sure up weaknesses.
Barzal due for an annual injury so this isn’t a slam dunk but as long as Sorokin plays to his potential this is an above avg. hockey team
8
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
1u
My Projection: 69.1% (-224 implied odds)
Avg. Public Projections = 62.5% (high of 66%)
Low projection is 59%. Bet to -130
Full stake is 1.5u
109
Seattle Mariners o89.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.2u
Bet to 93
122
Seattle Mariners+600
2026 MLB American League - To Win
1u
Bet to +400
120
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
1.5u
My Projection: 45.9% (+118 implied)
Avg. Public Projections = 46.8% (high of 54.8%)
Bet to +125
105
Milwaukee Brewers+335
2026 MLB NL Central - To Win
1u
My Projection: 41.3% (+142 implied)
Avg. Public Projections = 34.1% (high of 44.3%)
Bet to +175
99
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
0.5u
Stake is 1.5
34
New York Mets+185
2026 MLB NL East - To Win
1u
Bet to +135. My full team futures guide is live . Please read - I will wait to add the remaining bets to the App: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
98
Brent Rooker o28.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.3u
To reiterate, you can find team futures here - i will enter them in App on Monday: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets
Will release player stat props this week, but this is the biggest prop edge on the board IMO
Avg. Projection: 33.6; Low of 30 from Steamer, high of 36 from ZIPS DC.
My sim makes the fair line -182 for 30+ and would take it to -150. Also a nice edge on 40+ at +450 for Rooker - will discuss this prop and others in the stat leaders articles this week
67
Cincinnati Reds u83.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 81.5
51
Colorado Rockies o51.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 52
22
Houston Astros u86.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 84.5
48
Milwaukee Brewers o84.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.06u
Bet to 86
52
Minnesota Twins u74.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Bet to 73.5
51
New York Yankees u92.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 91.5
41
Pittsburgh Pirates o76.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
42
Philadelphia Phillies u90.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 90
27
San Diego Padres u85.5-114
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.14u
Bet to 83
52
St. Louis Cardinals o69.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Bet to 70.5
58
Tampa Bay Rays o76.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet to 78.5
48
Pittsburgh Pirates o77.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
25
Houston Astros u85.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.53u
Bet to 84.5.
20
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Updated stake = 2u. Bet to +100
40
Pittsburgh Pirates Yes+425
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.1u
Bet to +350
75
Houston Astros No+155
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1u
Bet to -150
59
San Diego Padres No+135
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.75u
Bet to -110
53
Cincinnati Reds No-160
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1.6u
Bet to -250
47
Miami Marlins o72.5-108
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.08u
Bet to 73.5. Had Over in article - accidentally tracked Under in App initially. Bet is OVER - my apologies for any confusion
42
Atlanta Braves No+195
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bet to +150. Think their win total is fine but downside tails to missing postseason closer to 50/50 in my sim. PECOTA/FG still have them around 85% to make but have already lost Schwelly and Waldrep. Strider, Reylo showing early spring velo concerns. Sale is also 37 with history if back/shoulder/elbow issues.
Only pushback IMO is sizing as the early scheduele looks relatively soft - may get a better price to place this same bet in mid April
53
Framber Valdez+3000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
47
Logan Webb+2000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
45
Bryan Woo+5000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
49
Andres Munoz+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
43
Devin Williams+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
39
Shohei Ohtani+1400
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
54
Kyle Schwarber+3500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
47
Chandler Simpson+500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
43
Victor Scott+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
38
Juan Soto+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
39
Munetaka Murakami o26.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.17u
Bet365. Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
31
Tarik Skubal+400
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.4u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
35
Cristopher Sanchez+1200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
32
Juan Soto+800
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.2u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
38
Gunnar Henderson+2250
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
32
Chase DeLauter+2500
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
37
Bubba Chandler+1400
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
40
Atlanta Braves No+195
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bumping to 0.5u after Profar suspension. No team has had a worse spring
30
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.87u |
| Last 7 Days | 10-9-0 | 53% | 2.37u |
| Last 30 Days | 40-49-0 | 45% | 0.55u |
| All Time | 13730-14685-1039 | 47% | 125.17u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 7387-7921-765 | 46% | 154.58u |
| NFL | 1394-1183-45 | 53% | 40.08u |
| UFC | 1354-1810-14 | 43% | 25.58u |
| WTA | 125-116-8 | 50% | 8.68u |
| Champions | 98-81-9 | 52% | 8.53u |
| NBA | 526-477-13 | 52% | 7.48u |
| La Liga | 86-77-15 | 48% | 4.36u |
| World Cup | 20-32-1 | 38% | 3.20u |
| European Championship | 18-14-2 | 53% | 2.38u |
| UFL | 6-5-0 | 55% | 1.78u |
| MENS_OLYMPIC_HOCKEY | 4-0-0 | 100% | 1.21u |
| Serie A | 116-107-19 | 48% | 0.89u |
| World Baseball Classic | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.87u |
| WNBA | 6-3-0 | 67% | 0.82u |
| Boxing | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.10u |
| MLS | 47-39-16 | 46% | -0.22u |
| Europa League | 0-1-1 | 0% | -0.58u |
| Golf | 12-66-0 | 15% | -2.36u |
| NASCAR | 0-14-0 | 0% | -2.81u |
| Bundesliga | 111-115-20 | 45% | -3.11u |
| Premier League | 225-248-46 | 43% | -14.08u |
| ATP | 252-319-9 | 43% | -20.04u |
| NHL | 513-595-0 | 46% | -22.18u |
| NCAAB | 621-636-17 | 49% | -29.00u |
| NCAAF | 784-796-38 | 48% | -50.14u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st — with two games remaining in the season.