Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2024

Mavericks at Clippers

2:00 am • TNT

Dallas Mavericks

4-2

96 - 93

Los Angeles Clippers

2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 4-2	-2.5	+1-110	o216.5-110	-105
Clippers 2-4	u215.5	-1-110	u216.5-110	-115

Wednesday 2:00 a.m.

April 24, 2024

Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles

D.Jones u8.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.1u

LAC -120

DAL -104

0.96u

J.Harden u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

0.5u

#Tailing @SBK5065

DAL +1-110

0.91u

J.Harden u18.5 Pts-120

0.6u

Under 216.5-105

1.9u

J.Harden u19.5 Pts-110

1.1u

K.Irving o25.5 Pts+100

L.Doncic o9.5 Rebs-108

1.1u

L.Doncic o9.5 Rebs-108

0.54u

#Tailing @PropBetGuy

DAL -132

L.Doncic o43.5 Pts+Rebs-104

The Mavericks are in a 1-0 hole and despite making a late push in Game 1 were never really close. One of the reasons was Luka scored just 11 points in the 1H as the whole Mavericks team scored just 8 2Q points. Here, I expect a significant uptick in production. Luka played 43 minutes in Game 1 which is an uptick from his season long number of 37.6. This is a must-win game for Dallas considering teams with home court advantage up 2-0 are a whopping 89-5 in the first-round overall series results. When Luka played 35+ minutes he’s averaging 44.6 PR and at 40+ minutes this season he has averaged 45.9 PR, exceeding this line in 61% of games. The key here is I expect the minutes to be there. The Mavericks could not buy a bucket in the 1H of Game 1, but should be able to build off of their success in the 2H. I like Luka to exceed 43.5 PR.

Under 216-110

$27.27

P.George o3.5 Ast+114

0.57u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -105 giving value to this number

DAL -2.5-110

0.91u

LAC +120

Featured Insight
The Mavericks has a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Clippers have allowed a TS% of 51% in close and late situations this season -- 7th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Clippers has a TS% of 51% in close and late situations this season -- T-9th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Clippers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Clippers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Clippers are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Clippers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Clippers' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Clippers	47-35	28-13	19-22	29-20	18-14
Mavericks	0-2	0-2	N/A	0-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Clippers	40-41-1	21-20	19-21-1	26-23	14-17-1
Mavericks	0-2	0-2	N/A	0-2	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Clippers	3-4	N/A	N/A	38-11	12-20
Mavericks	0-2	N/A	N/A	0-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	DAL	W 109-97	+3.5 W	U 223.5	LAC +135
Apr 14th	HOU	L 105-116	+4 L	U 223.5	HOU +146
Apr 13th	UTA	L 109-110	-16 L	U 225	UTA -1425
Apr 11th	PHX	L 108-124	+12 L	O 220.5	PHX +434
Apr 10th	@PHX	W 105-92	+9.5 W	U 226.5	LAC +305