Chris Raybon's Picks
Today
Under 46.5-112
BUF
@
DEN
1u
01/17 9:30 PM
#SundaySixPack BUF 6 PPG fewer on road. Ref Carl Cheffers playoff unders 11-4 (73%)
201
B.Cooks u2.5 Recs-130
BUF
@DEN
1u
01/17 9:30 PM
Only 3 rec vs man coverage all year per PFF, could see a lot of Surtain.
201
Pending
Jalen Milroe o38.5-122
1u
84
SF u18.5-105
SF
@
SEA
1u
01/18 1:00 AM
#SundaySixPack SF 20 points in 2 meetings vs SEA.
205
C.McCaffrey o5.5 Recs-158
SF
@SEA
1u
01/18 1:00 AM
6+ in 3 of last 4, 6+ in 5 of 6 with Kittle out
188
W.Marks u59.5 Rush Yds-112
HOU
@
NE
1u
01/18 8:00 PM
#SundaySixPack NE 3.8 YPC, 83 YOG allowed with Milton Williams active, only 2 RBs cleared 50 with high of 58 in those 13g.
236
Futures
Buffalo Bills+750
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
Better path to #1 seed than KC, BAL.
Over wins in 7/8 with McDermott so high floor, unrealized ceiling.
Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
92
Baltimore Ravens+775
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
77
Kansas City Chiefs+850
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
SB win in 3 of 7 since Mahomes took over, SB appearance in 5 of 7.
Tough first half schedule so opportunity to add more in-season.
61
San Francisco 49ers+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 9 Super Bowls feat a combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (4), PHI (3), McVay (2), Burrow (1)...and 3 Shanahan offenses.
Efficient QB (Purdy 8.9 career YPA), 8 draft picks in top 160, Saleh back at DC, #1 easiest SOS.
SF last 6: 2 last place finishes, to NFC Championship Ls, 2 Super Bowl Ls.
This sets up as a year where the 49ers let a season ruin their injury plans.
61
Los Angeles Rams+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 7 Super Bowls have featured some combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (2), PHI (2), Shanahan (2), Burrow (1)...and McVay (2).
McVay/Stafford/LAR the only non-KC/non-Brady/non-PHI SB winner since 2016 (9 seasons).
53
Green Bay Packers+2500
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
GB went 0-6 vs DET/MIN/PHI and 11-1 vs everyone else. DET/MIN/PHI got worse, GB got better.
Love top-5 in QBR (69.3) and NYA (7.50) in a "down" year, defense went from No. 27 to No. 7 in DVOA, and Alexander loss will be overrated (hasn't appeared in more than 7g since 2022, 2 INT over that span).
67
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 3-1-0 | 75% | 1.66u |
| Last 30 Days | 24-13-1 | 63% | 11.21u |
| All Time | 2176-1764-69 | 54% | 191.90u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1038-823-33 | 55% | 131.68u |
| NBA | 782-632-24 | 54% | 54.09u |
| NHL | 108-86-3 | 55% | 19.74u |
| MLB | 61-45-4 | 55% | 5.30u |
| UFC | 5-2-0 | 71% | 1.73u |
| World Cup | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.50u |
| NCAAF | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.09u |
| UFL | 5-8-2 | 33% | -3.77u |
| NCAAB | 155-156-3 | 49% | -23.07u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Ray-Ray McCloud under 0.5 receiving yards in 2022 Wild Card Playoff vs. Seattle.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Mac Jones safety with under two minutes to go to put Patriots down 4 (21-17) when I had them +3.5.
Specialties
- NFL spreads
- NFL totals
- NFL props
- Fantasy Football
- NFL DFS
- NBA props
- NBA spreads
- NBA totals