Pistons vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - November 14, 2024

Pistons at Bucks

1:00 am • FDSWI

Detroit Pistons

6-8

120

120 - 127

Milwaukee Bucks

4-8

127

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pistons 6-8	-7.5	+7-108	o213-112	+232
Bucks 4-8	u220.5	-7-112	u213-110	-285

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

November 14, 2024

Fiserv ForumMilwaukee

MIL +8 (Live)-117

2.56u

Pressing this bet. Lots of time for the #Bucka to respond vs one of the worst teams in the #NBA If they get blown out by the #Pistons Doc Rivers could be fired tonight.

G.Antetokounmpo o11.5 Rebs-104

0.96u

M.Beasley o16.5 Pts-114

0.88u

Tailing @roloheaux in his duffy

J.Duren o10.5 Rebs-110

1.1u

C.Cunningham o1.5 3pt M-145

0.69u

DET +6.5-105

Under 212+100

2u only because I accidentally placed 1u on over instead of under earlier

Under 212.5-110

1.1u

Over 212+100

MISTAKE - Meant to take under , adjustment made in later pick today

G.Antetokounmpo o6.5 Ast-142

0.7u

Tailing @MillyProps

C.Cunningham o14.5 Rebs+Ast-125

C.Cunningham Triple-Double Yes+1100

0.2u

G.Antetokounmpo o6.5 Ast-135

0.74u

Dame is out and Middleton is still out. Giannis has covered in 3/3 w/o both them w/ games of 7, 8, 7 AST. In those three games, he's had 15, 23, and 22 pAST - 22 pAST game was last night. That's incredible volume for this line and playing @ home vs. a thin DET team, we should see some positive regression and more conversions on those chances. Giannis has had success against DET in the past too, recording 5, 6, 9, 10 AST and all four were w/ Dame. There have been games where Dame is out but Middleton is active and Giannis has covered in 7/9 of those - AVG 7.4 AST and 16.7 pAST. His floor in pAST w/o both seems to be 15 and when he see's 15+ pAST in a game, he's covered this line in 22/26 games since last season (84.6%). DET can be stingy with AST, ranking #10 in overall AST allowed but they don't have a good defensive MU for Giannis unless they go double-bigs with Duren/Stew. That would clog the paint and ultimately force Giannis into more of a facilitating role. I can also see more doubles and just a collapse minded defense to keep him out of the paint.

Over 216-108

0.93u

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NBA Public Betting

Bucks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bucks are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bucks are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bucks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bucks' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	4-8-1	2-3-1	2-5	3-5-1	1-3
Pistons	8-5-1	4-3	4-2-1	1-2	7-3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bucks	5-8	2-4	3-4	4-5	1-3
Pistons	5-9	4-3	1-6	1-2	4-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	4-9	N/A	N/A	4-5	0-4
Pistons	6-8	N/A	N/A	2-1	4-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 13th	TOR	W 99-85	-9 W	U 225.5	MIL -400
Nov 10th	BOS	L 107-113	+5 L	U 229.5	BOS +164
Nov 9th	@NYK	L 94-116	+7 L	U 223.5	NYK +215
Nov 8th	UTA	W 123-100	-10 W	U 232	MIL -475
Nov 5th	@CLE	L 114-116	+8.5 W	O 228.5	CLE +280

Tim Hardaway
PF
Tim Hardaway Jr. (head) out Wednesday.
Out

Jalen Duren
C
Jalen Duren (ankle) available to play Tuesday.
Probable
Simone Fontecchio
SF
Simone Fontecchio (toe) out Wednesday.
Out
Ausar Thompson
PF
Thompson is out with illness
Out

Brook Lopez
C
Lopez is probable with quad
Probable
Bobby Portis
SF
Bobby Portis (elbow) available Saturday.
Probable
Giannis Antetokounmpo
SF
Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) available Tuesday.
Probable
Khris Middleton
SF
Middleton is out with ankle
Out