Texans vs Titans Prediction: NFL Week 15 Odds, Preview
| Texans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3 -105 | 38 -110o / -110u | +145 |
| Titans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3 -115 | 38 -110o / -110u | -170 |
My NFL pick for this game is betting this home favorite. Texans vs. Titans odds for NFL Week 15 have Houston listed as a 3-point underdog on the spread with a game total of 37. However, I'll be targeting the home favorite for my NFL pick.
The Texans appeared primed to make a postseason push to close out the regular season. Instead, they’re incredibly banged up heading into Sunday’s clash with the Titans. Rookie phenom C.J. Stroud (concussion) is out, while receivers Nico Collins (calf) and Noah Brown (knee) are questionable, which puts whoever starts at QB for Houston in a tough spot for his first start of the season.
Let's preview Houston-Tennessee and make a Texans vs. Titans prediction.
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Texans vs. Titans Prediction
Texans vs. Titans Preview
It’s hard to see the Texans mustering much offense with either Case Keenum or Davis Mills under center. Houston’s team total is set at a meager 16.5, which speaks volumes about what people think of either QB. He hardly inspires confidence to begin with, but he’s even harder to trust with the Texans’ pass-catchers so bruised and battered.
Tank Dell fractured his tibia in Week 13 and is out for the year. Meanwhile, Nico Collins is questionable after injuring his calf two plays into Houston’s loss to the Jets. He didn’t practice all week, which doesn’t bode well for Sunday.
Additionally, Noah Brown (knee) is also questionable. He’s hard to count on even if suits up as he’s come crashing down to earth. In fact, he failed to catch any of the five balls thrown his way against the Jets. If both questionable receivers can’t go, either Keenum or Mills, whoever starts, will be stuck with a receiving corps of Robert Woods, John Metchie and Xavier Hutchinson.
The good news for Houston is that Dalton Schultz returns after missing two weeks with a hamstring injury. However, the Titans have clamped down on tight ends all year, giving up the sixth-fewest catches (51) and seventh-fewest yards (530), so he can’t be seen as a savior.
Texans vs. Titans Picks | FanDuel
Under normal circumstances, Houston likely would have been able to throw all over a Titans defense that has the fourth-worst DVOA against the pass. Unfortunately, between Mills’ track record and who he’ll have at his disposal, the Texans figure to have a hard time taking advantage of what should have been a tasty matchup.
Conversely, the Titans boast the fourth-best DVOA against the run. It’s a terrible matchup for Houston as Devin Singletary, Dameon Pierce and the rest of their running backs average only 96.0 yards per game on the ground, which is eighth fewest in the league.
The Titans are fresh off the NFL's biggest upset this season, rallying late as 13.5-point 'dogs to stun the Dolphins. They're the first team since 2016 to win when down by 14 points with less than three minutes remaining. Teams had previously gone 0-767 in that situation.
The most impressive part of their big win was how efficient they were on offense. Will Levis completed 23-of-38 passes for 327 yards and one touchdown while Derrick Henry twice powered his way into the end zone.
This week’s game against Houston might not be much of a contest if they put forth a similar performance on Sunday.
Texans vs. Titans Prediction
Seven days ago, I would have hammered Houston over Tennessee. However, this is a drastically different team with Keenum or Mills at the helm. In fact, Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner says there is a 5.5-point difference between the likely Rookie of the Year and his backup.
Tennessee’s defense clearly matches up well against this version of the Texans offense. Stroud and a healthy receiving corps might have had a field day, but there aren’t many reasons to think whoever Houston starts at QB and a bunch of injured or third-string wideouts will have much success.
The Titans are hardly an offensive juggernaut, but they should put up enough points to cover. The sharps are in agreement as PRO report tracks them strongly backing Tennessee.
The line heading into the weekend has wavered between -3.5 and -4, so be sure to shop around before placing your bet.
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