The Bills have seen their odds vs. the Titans on Sunday drop from -8.5 to -9.5 after acquiring Amari Cooper on Wednesday.
At DraftKings, ESPN BET, Fanatics, and Caesars, that's been exactly the case. It's a chicken or the egg issue, though, as it always is with these sorts of things. While Cooper adds an element that perhaps makes the Bills a bigger threat, the public has also hammered the Bills' spread over the last few days, according to data from the Action Network.
A heap of money streaming in on a line means it's going to move — whether it's sharp or not.
At FanDuel, the line has stayed at -8.5 but the vig has moved slightly from -110 to -115. That's currently the best price on the market if you're looking for a line that looks more like it did on Tuesday or Wednesday.
To be fair to the public, it stands to reason that Cooper will make a difference to a Bills offensive unit that already ranks third in the NFL in EPA/play, even with below-average wide receivers.
While Cooper has led the NFL in drops this season with 10, several of those can be chalked up to awful ball placement by one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the league in Deshaun Watson. Beyond that stat, Cooper has comfortably been a top-20 receiver over the last two seasons, even with poor quarterback play.
One thing to factor: The Titans rank fourth in the NFL in EPA/play on defense, including ranking 10th against the pass. But if the game script has the Titans defense on the field for the vast majority of the game, previous performances and Cooper's presence overall might be moot anyway.
Meanwhile, one market that can be directly linked with Cooper's acquisition is quarterback Josh Allen's MVP chances. Immediately after the acquisition, Allen's MVP odds increased and those of his competitors dropped.
