Packed inside a crowded AFC division, the Texans have a fighting chance to make the playoffs with two games left and will have a healthy CJ Stroud back under center. The Titans are a pass-funnel defense, which should set up a smash spot for Nico Collins in Week 17.
The Wolverine product is averaging 78.6 receiving yards in his 13 games this season but has not been playing at full strength as of late. Collins suffered a calf injury in Week 15, missed a game, and came back limited on a 47% snap rate under QB Case Keenum.
Stroud and Collins have no injury tag and should be fully healthy today for the duo to connect for big plays. In their last game without Tank Dell, Collins put up a 9-121-2 performance.
As for the matchup, The Titans' secondary gets gashed weekly, averaging 177.07 yards to receivers (4th most), having allowed a 65-plus yard performance in 14 of their 15 games. They'll be without CB Kristian Fulton and S Amani Hooker. This defense already ranks 25th in defensive DVOA versus the pass and allows explicitly the second-most deep passes to outside receivers.
In their previous meeting versus the Titans earlier this month, Keenum connected with the number one receiver WR Noah Brown (in Collins's absence) for 82 yards. I see this trend continuing for Collins, who is now set to take on the alpha role, and I love his chances of going over his receiving prop.
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