Pacers vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 23, 2024

Game 1 home dogs of 3-10pts last two decades: 38-18-1 ATS (68%). Losing record only 1 of last 8 years. Auto play Bet Labs trend.

Pacers (4-11) to the over last szn when road favs

Bob

I think this line is mispriced for two reasons: 1) It’s closer to his playoff AVG where he saw more minutes and naturally more volume 2) It doesn’t factor Mathurin being back Nembhard has only gone over in 4/L25 games w/ Mathurin + IND proj. lineup. Mathurin missed a lot of those games as well and when you focus on the games Mathurin played with Siakam/Hali/Turner/Nesmith, Nembhard is over in 0/7 - AVG 9.98 PPG He AVG 8.87 FGA in those 7 games and it’s slightly inflated due to Siakam playing 19 MIN in one game (Nembhard 12 FGA that game). Factor out that game Siakam played just 19 minutes and Nembhard AVG just 6.0 FGA. In games he’s taken 7 or less FGA, he’s over in just 1/L25 IND are also know for running a larger rotation and could easily go 10-11 deep given it’s the regular season and the Pistons With it being an under there are other outs here too like a blowout or foul trouble

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Pistons, after a tough season, improved with key acquisitions like Tobias Harris, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Malik Beasley. Cade Cunningham’s playmaking and scoring will be key vs. Indiana. Pacers, led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, were top scorers last season, but showed weaknesses on the defensive side. Detroit's new coach Bickerstaff focuses on defense, Duren controls the paint, and home advantage at Little Caesars Arena boosts Pistons' chances.