If you’re out of sides and totals to bet for this monster Saturday college football slate, check out the college football player prop market, where the +EV possibilities are seemingly infinite.
Two of our best player prop analysts, Tim Kalinowski and Mike Calabrese, found three props they love for this Saturday, including picks for Jacob Cowing, Ladd McConkey and Michael Penix Jr.
Read on for a full breakdown of their picks below.
Week 11 College Football Player Props
In the table below, you'll find each of our college football staff's top player prop picks from Saturday's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 2 p.m. | |
| 3:30 p.m. | |
| 7 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Arizona vs. Colorado
Jacob Cowing
Over 53.5 Receiving Yards
Let’s work backward here.
Colorado’s defense stinks out loud.
The Buffs allow just over 300 passing yards per game, good for 131st in the FBS.
This defense is so bad, I ordered a pair of Coach Prime’s sunglasses a few weeks ago just so I didn’t have to watch the obscenities when Shedeur Sanders and company aren’t on the field.
They don’t ship until December, so I guess a blindfold must suffice for now.
Anyway, it seems like a pretty good idea to fade Coach Prime’s porous defense with an Arizona offense that's been humming since freshman quarterback Noah Fifita took over for the injured Jayden de Laura.
Fifita’s favorite target since getting the nod at QB1 has been senior receiver Jacob Cowing, who is averaging just over 10 targets a game since Week 5.
While Cowing has only cleared this number four times this season, the value is in the matchup. Cowing has lined up in the slot for over 70% of his routes this year, a position that, like many others, the Buffaloes have no answer for.
Pick your favorite stat. The Arizona offense likely has single or low double digits next to their name, while the Colorado defense undoubtedly has triple digits next to theirs.
Fifita, Cowing and the Arizona offense should be driving up and down the field all Saturday in Boulder against a Buffs defense that looks like Shedeur Sanders’ Rolls Royce looked this week, with or without sunglasses.
Pick: Jacob Cowing Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 60.5)
Utah vs. Washington
Michael Penix Jr.
Under 301.5 Passing Yards
This would have been sacrilege back in September. The Heisman favorite averaged 400 yards per game through the air in the first month of the season.
But lately, Penix Jr. has looked slightly off, and Dillon Johnson is taking on a more prominent role in the offense as the Huskies’ lead back.
In UW’s last three games, Penix is averaging just 300 yards per game. But when you consider his opponents, an alarm bell should go off. The Huskies have faced Arizona State, Stanford and USC in their last three — the trio's average pass defense ranks outside the top 100.
Now, here comes the Utah pass defense, which is downright salty.
The Utes are second in Pass Success Rate allowed. They get after the quarterback (11th in sack rate) and break up passes. On the whole, they rank 11th in Havoc generated.
When facing other Heisman-caliber quarterbacks, the Utes secondary has shown up in a big way. They held Caleb Williams 40 yards below his season passing average and Bo Nix 50 yards below his.
It also helps that Utah will look to shorten the game with long drives in their pursuit of a season-defining upset.
Pick: Michael Penix Jr. Under 301.5 Passing Yards (Play to 299.5)
Ole Miss vs. Georgia
Ladd McConkey
Over 63.5 Receiving Yards
Shout out to my co-host, Mike Calabrese, for pointing me toward McConkey on our show.
When star tight end and Heisman candidate Brock Bowers sustained an ankle injury earlier this season, Georgia fans were ready to panic.
Fine, maybe they didn’t quite reach for the panic button, but they at least took a slight glance at it.
Regardless, you can’t say you blame them because, at the time, their other stud weapon on the outside, Ladd McConckey, was recovering from an injury of his own.
But the sun still rose in Athens — a place it has been shining brightly over the past few years — because just as Bowers went down, McConkey was back to full strength.
In the two games that Bowers missed, McConkey hauled in 13 catches for 230 yards and a stunning total of 113 yards after catch.
It sounds like Bowers will be a game-time decision. Regardless, this number is too low for a Georgia offense that moves the ball on every defense they play.
With the total in this game sitting in the high 50s, there'll be plenty of yards on the table for McConkey to stay hot.
Pick: Ladd McConkey Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 69.5)
