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Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds, Picks, NCAAF Week 3 Betting Preview

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds, Picks, NCAAF Week 3 Betting Preview article feature image
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MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images. Pictured: Notre Dame RB Jadarian Price.

The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in South Bend, Indiana, on Saturday, Sept. 13. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC.

Notre Dame is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -270. Texas A&M, meanwhile, comes in at +210 to pull off the upset. The total is set at 49.5 points.

Here’s my Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame prediction and college football picks for Saturday, September 13.

Quickslip

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Texas A&M Aggies vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Picks

  • Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame Pick: 1H Over 24.5 or Better · Over 49.5 or Better

My Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M best bet is on both teams to go over the first-half and full-game totals. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.


Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Lines

Texas A&M Logo
Saturday, September 13
7:30 p.m. ET
NBC
Notre Dame Logo
Texas A&M Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6.5
-110
50.5
-105o / -115u
+200
Notre Dame Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6.5
-110
50.5
-105o / -115u
-238
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Spread: Notre Dame -6.5, Texas A&M +6.5
  • Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Over/Under: 50.5
  • Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Moneyline: Notre Dame ML -238, Texas A&M ML +200


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Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Week 3 Preview


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Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

Texas A&M may have dodged an injury bullet in the two games leading up to its visit to South Bend. Quarterback Marcel Reed and left tackle Trey Zuhn III both suffered injuries but are expected to be ready for the game against the Irish.

Reed has been on fire this season, throwing for seven touchdowns without committing an interception or turnover-worthy play.

Meanwhile, NC State transfer receiver KC Concepcion has helped open up the offense, generating three touchdowns on more than three yards per route run.

The most uncharacteristic part of Texas A&M through eight quarters is the lack of defensive stops when opponents enter scoring position.

UTSA and Utah State crossed Texas A&M's 40-yard line eight times, ending with an average of 4.3 points per trip.

The Aggies are up to 22 missed tackles on the season and rank near dead last in Rush EPA allowed.

Both UTSA and Utah State ripped a combined seven explosive rushing attempts, an area of concern heading into hostile territory against Notre Dame.


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Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview

The selection of CJ Carr as the starting quarterback was a shock to some after a mixed fall camp. However, the returns have been a pleasant surprise, with two passing touchdowns and no turnover-worthy plays in the Irish's first ranked matchup.

The freshman also showed off his wheels on a designed run that ended with a score. Freeman has been consistent in his message that Carr has special abilities for a true freshman.

On the other side, defensive coordinator Chris Ash had the assignment to stop an elite offense in Miami in the opener.

The Hurricanes were rarely stuffed on the ground, while quarterback Carson Beck led a passing attack that ended with a high 58% Success Rate and four explosive passes.

The positive comes in the lack of EPA, as Miami failed to record an explosive drive against Notre Dame. Ash is sure to use the bye week to improve tackling fundamentals that checked just outside of the PFF top 100.


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Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Week 3 NCAAF Pick

No head coach loves coming off a bye week more than Notre Dame's Marcus Freeman. Since taking over in 2021, Freeman has generated an 11-2 mark against the spread with extra rest.

There's enough evidence to believe the Notre Dame rushing attack could be a menace against A&M's defense, as the Aggies rank 134th in Defensive Rush EPA.

Running backs Jadarian Price and Jeremiyah Love were both limited in their roles against Miami, but they had two weeks to prepare to face an Aggies team that has been tormented by inside zone read.

The Notre Dame defense boasted an average Success Rate in Cover 1 and Cover 3 against Miami but was dominated in quarters coverage.

Fighting Irish cornerbacks Leonard Moore and Christian Gray are two of the best corners in the nation, but look for Concepcion to cook in the middle of the field on slant and hitch routes.

The Notre Dame defense also struggled when Miami crossed the 40-yard line, indicating that both offenses have a high probability of creating scoring opportunities on Saturday night.

Pick: 1H Over 24.5 or Better · Over 49.5 or Better


Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Weather Forecast


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Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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