The Los Angeles Chargers take on the New England Patriots in the NFL Wild Card Round on Sunday, Jan. 11. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock.
Our player props for this AFC Wild Card game target TreVeyon Henderson, Justin Herbert, Rhamondre Stevenson and Tre’ Harris.
Let's dive into my Chargers vs Patriots player props for NFL Wild Card Sunday.
Chargers vs Patriots Player Props
- TreVeyon Henderson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at bet365)
- Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown (+135 at DraftKings)
- Justin Herbert Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-110 at bet365)
- Tre’ Harris Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at BetRivers)
Chargers vs Patriots Prop Picks, Preview
TreVeyon Henderson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Patriots' backfield has been a frustrating one all season, but while TreVeyon Henderson doesn’t own it yet, he’s certainly the more dynamic one compared to Rhamondre Stevenson.
Given Henderson didn’t manage more than 40 rushing yards in a game until Week 8, it’s impressive that he's ended the season with an average of 53.5 rushing yards per game.
His line for this game stands at 52.5 rushing yards, and he’s covered that number in nine of his past 10 games.
Henderson is so quick and elusive that he’s capable of huge chunk plays, which could gobble up a large part of this total in just a couple of seconds.
Pick: TreVeyon Henderson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110; bet365)
Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown (+135)
While Henderson is the better running back, the Patriots continue to absolutely love Rhamondre Stevenson. The 27-year-old has his flaws, but with his size and experience, he’s still the better of the team’s RBs between the tackles in the red zone.
Over the past three weeks, he’s scored in every game, with a total of six touchdowns.
Stevenson is seeing heavy usage in the important areas of the field and is the best value anytime touchdown pick for this game.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown (+135; DraftKings)
Justin Herbert Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Across this season, we’ve seen Justin Herbert put up an average of 233.5 passing yards per game, some 11 yards more per game than his total here.
With the Chargers expected to be underdogs, we could see Herbert forced to use his arm to get the team back into this game.
As good as the Patriots defense has looked by some metrics, it’s all slightly misleading given the strength of schedule that they’ve faced.
New England has given up an average of 193.5 passing yards per game, but only had three games against playoff opposition.
Herbert is an upgrade on nearly every quarterback the Patriots have faced this season, and that could lead to him putting up big numbers.
Pick: Justin Herbert Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-110; bet365)
Tre' Harris Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Chargers' second-round selection from this year’s NFL Draft hasn’t had a huge season, scoring just once and accumulating just 324 receiving yards; however, he has seen his role grow down the stretch.
Before the bye in Week 12, he’d had just one game with four or more targets, but that’s been four of six since.
In theory, with an average of 10.8 yards per catch, Tre' Harris needs just two catches to cover here. With 17 targets in the past four games, he should get the volume.
He’s not a guy who is going to make big plays, but he can keep the chains moving for Justin Herbert, so look for him to cover what feels like a very low line here.
Pick: Tre’ Harris Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110; BetRivers)
Editor's Note: A parlay of these props is not the author's formal recommendation. These picks have value as straight bets.
Chargers vs Patriots Player Prop Bets
- TreVeyon Henderson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at bet365)
- Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown (+135 at DraftKings)
- Justin Herbert Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-110 at bet365)
- Tre’ Harris Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at BetRivers)
