The Marshall Thundering Herd take on the Georgia State Panthers in Atlanta, Georgia. Kickoff is set for 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Marshall is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -290. The total is set at 63.5 points.
Here’s my Marshall vs. Georgia State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
Marshall vs Georgia State Prediction
- Marshall vs. Georgia State Pick: Marshall -7.5 (-105, bet365)
My Georgia State vs. Marshall best bet is on the Thundering Herd to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Marshall vs Georgia State Odds
| Marshall Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 63.5 -110o / -110u | -290 |
| Georgia State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 63.5 -110o / -110u | +245 |
- Marshall vs Georgia State point spread: Marshall -7.5 (-105), Georgia State +7.5 (-115)
- Marshall vs Georgia State over/under: 63.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Marshall vs Georgia State moneyline: Marshall -290, Georgia State +245
Marshall vs Georgia State Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
The Right Favorite is a college football system built on recognizing when the betting market underestimates a favorite.
In the regular season, when an opponent is coming off a loss by seven to 23 points, perception often inflates their chances of rebounding. Yet, those weaknesses typically carry into the next game.
By focusing on contests where the total is set over 55, the system narrows in on games expected to be higher-scoring, making it more difficult for struggling teams to keep pace.
Limiting the sample to the first eleven games ensures the analysis applies before postseason adjustments in motivation and preparation occur.
Finally, the spread filter targets situations where the line is set with the other side catching points, but not in extreme ranges, allowing favorites to deliver consistent covers.
Together, these conditions create a profile where the favorite is positioned as the stronger play despite public bias suggesting otherwise.
I also think the public and the market are still underrating Marshall quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson. He's been slinging it for the Herd, completing over 65% of his attempts while posting 0.18 EPA per Dropback with four touchdowns and no picks. Not to mention he's also the team's leading rusher.
Since Rio-Wilson took over starting quarterbacking duties, the Herd are 4-3 while averaging over 38 points per game.
Marshall is firing on all cylinders, and the Herd should roast a Georgia State defense that ranks last or second-to-last nationally in EPA per Rush allowed, Available Yards Percentage allowed, and Early Downs EPA per Play allowed.
Georgia State's offense is better, but the Panthers still won't be able to keep up. Marshall is absolutely the right favorite.
Pick: Marshall -7.5 (-105, bet365)
