The college football player prop market is an excellent way to add some fun to your Saturday card. These lines tend to be relatively inefficient, exposing huge edges.
This week, our team found four such angles, including college football player prop picks for DJ Uiagalelei, Devin Neal, Devontez Walker and Colbie Young.
Read on for a full breakdown of all four picks below.
Week 7 College Football Player Prop Picks
In the table below, you'll find each of our college football staff's top player prop picks from Saturday's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:30 p.m. | |
| 7:30 p.m. | |
| 7:30 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Kansas vs. Oklahoma State
Devin Neal
Over 80.5 Rushing Yards
By Cody Goggin
Lance Leipold once again has the Kansas offense performing as one of the best units in the conference.
With quarterback Jalon Daniels still on the mend, the Jayhawks have had to lean even harder on their running game, and specifically, Devin Neal.
This season, Neal has amassed 593 yards on just 77 carries — an average of 7.7 yards per carry. The junior had his biggest game of the season last week, going for 154 yards in a blowout victory over UCF.
The only team this year that has kept Neal under this yardage total was Texas, which outmatched this Kansas offensive line and held Neal to just 45 yards on eight carries. That might not sound like much, but it’s still 5.6 YPC.
Oklahoma State has struggled to stop explosive runs this season, ranking 121st in rushing explosiveness allowed and 64th in rushing PPA. The Pokes rank 85th in total EPA Allowed on the ground this year and come in at 122nd in PFF run defense grade and 114th in tackling grade.
Meanwhile, Kansas runs at the eighth-highest rate in the country and ranks eighth in Rushing Success Rate and ninth in PPA.
Neal is tied for fifth in the country in designed 15-plus yard runs with 11 on the year, according to PFF.
What also doesn’t hurt is that Neal showed what he could do against this Oklahoma State defense last year. He ran the ball 32 times for 224 yards, leading Kansas to a victory.
I think we see another strong performance out of Neal this weekend as he goes over this yardage total once again.
Pick: Devin Neal Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (Play to 84.5)
Miami vs. North Carolina
Colbie Young
Over 47.5 Receiving Yards
By Alex Hinton
Pro Football Focus has graded out Miami’s trio of Xavier Restrepo, Colbie Young and Jacolby George as one of the receiving groups in the country.
Young is the big target of the group at 6-foot-5 and 215 pounds. He can win on contested balls, but he also has catch-and-run ability as well, scoring on a 44-yard screen in Miami’s season opener.
Young has hit this line in four of his five games this season, going over 50 yards receiving in all of those games.
Where this line gets really interesting is when you look at the last two meetings in this series, 45-42 and 27-24 North Carolina victories.
Miami quarterback Tyler Van Dyke threw for 264 yards in 2021 and 496 yards last season against the Tar Heels. Now, UNC’s defense has improved this season, but Miami will be the best offense it‘s faced.
North Carolina has won four straight games in this series and enters as a 3.5-point favorite in this matchup. Miami will have to score to keep pace with Drake Maye and the high-powered UNC attack. That means Van Dyke will likely be throwing often in what should be a competitive game.
Van Dyke’s line is 263.5 passing yards, and I’m interested in that as well. However, if you’re projecting him to have north of 250 yards, it’s reasonable to assume at least 50 will go to one of his top targets.
Young nearly hit this line in last year’s meeting, going for 43 yards in his season debut. He went over 100 yards in the next two games and has improved even more this year. Five more yards here is not a big ask.
Pick: Colbie Young Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 51.5)
Miami vs. North Carolina
Devontez Walker
Over 56.5 Receiving Yards
If you don’t know the story by now, North Carolina wide receiver Tez Walker is a two-time transfer from Kent State and NC Central.
The problem was that the NCAA blocked Walker from being eligible to play for UNC in 2023, citing transfer rules that would require Walker to sit out at least one season before being allowed to play for the Tar Heels.
Well, the NCAA reversed that decision last week, and the highly-touted wideout made his season debut in Carolina blue. In the Tar Heels’ blowout win over Syracuse, Walker was tied for the team lead with eight targets and posted six receptions for 43 yards.
Now, if that sounds underwhelming, look at it this way. After sitting out the first four games of the season, Walker played 54 snaps against Syracuse, the first of which didn’t come until Carolina's 18th offensive play. The guy didn’t get to practice until the Thursday before the game. He was barely part of the game plan.
But heading into a matchup against Miami this week, he is a part of the game plan. Walker immediately becomes Drake Maye’s most talented weapon, and this time, he actually gets to have a full week of practice.
Folks, we have an opportunity here to buy a blue-chip stock at a discount.
Pick: Devontez Walker Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 62.5)
UCLA vs. Oregon State
DJ Uiagalelei
Over 214.5 Passing Yards
This number seems pretty low despite UCLA’s pass defense playing very well so far this season.
Let’s take a look at how Oregon State’s passing offense stacks up against UCLA’s passing defense.
UCLA ranks 15th in Passing EPA Allowed, 16th in passing explosiveness allowed and 36th in Passing Success Rate Allowed. Meanwhile, Oregon State ranks 24th in Passing EPA, 28th in passing explosiveness and 43rd in Passing Success Rate.
Now, here’s where the rubber meets the road: The Bruins ain’t played nobody, Paaawwwwwl (yes, we’re bringing an SEC bit to the Pac-12).
This defense looked excellent against Coastal Carolina, San Diego State, NC Central, Utah with a backup quarterback and Washington State.
Now, it's worth noting Oregon State runs the ball significantly more than it passes (55% vs. 45%), but it uses this to set up the pass extremely well.
However, I think UCLA will try to force DJU to beat it through the air, which I think he can. I expect the Beavers to air it out and have success with it.
Pick: DJ Uiagalelei Over 214.5 Passing Yards (Play to 219.5)
