Guardians vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2025

Guardians at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN

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Cleveland Guardians

20-14

Washington Nationals

16-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.01	2-1
L.Ortiz			4.78	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 20-14	-1.5	-1.5+136	o9-101	-120
Nationals 16-19	u9	+1.5-163	u9-118	+100

Monday 10:45 p.m.

May 05, 2025

Nationals ParkWashington

71°Fahrenheit

34%Rain

7Wind

J.Young o0.5 HR+2200

0.1u

J.Ramirez o0.5 HR+400

0.1u

Day 1

J.Wood o0.5 HR+475

0.5u

J.Irvin o4.5 Ks+108

More a bet on volume than efficiency as neither Irvin or the Guardians generate strikeouts at a high rate. Irvin has finished six innings in five straight (and seven in two of those). As a result of the length, I have Irvin projected for 4.64 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range for me have gone over 4.5 strikeouts 50.5% of the time, implying value here as long as we're getting plus money.

L.Ortiz u4.5 Ks+110

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.1u

DK line, good to -125

Under 9-120

1.2u

5 MLB Home Run Props for Monday
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 8-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Nationals' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	18-17	10-6	8-11	2-4	16-13
Guardians	15-19	8-8	7-11	6-6	9-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	17-18	9-7	8-11	3-3	14-15
Guardians	17-15-2	7-9	10-6-2	7-5	10-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	16-19	9-7	7-12	3-3	13-16
Guardians	20-14	11-5	9-9	10-2	10-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	@CIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH -112
May 3rd	@CIN	W 11-6	+1.5 W	O 9	WSH +164
May 2nd	@CIN	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	CIN +168
May 1st	@PHI	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10	WSH +150
Apr 30th	@PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +210

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
OF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RL.Ortiz, P		2-3	4.78	1.406	10.13

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1S.Kwan, LF	.333	.384	.467	4
2D.Schneemann, 2B	.274	.348	.548	4
3J.Ramirez, 3B	.265	.318	.436	5
4K.Manzardo, DH	.219	.325	.495	8
5C.Santana, 1B	.219	.316	.316	3
6B.Naylor, C	.184	.284	.408	5
7G.Arias, SS	.262	.319	.437	4
8N.Jones, RF	.156	.278	.260	1
9A.Martinez, CF	.324	.329	.412	0

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RJ.Irvin, P		2-1	4.01	1.125	6.96

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1C.Abrams, SS	.284	.333	.523	4
2A.Call, LF	.344	.449	.426	0
3J.Wood, DH	.273	.381	.545	9
4N.Lowe, 1B	.254	.331	.446	6
5K.Ruiz, C	.298	.350	.386	2
6L.Garcia, 2B	.234	.282	.360	3
7D.Crews, RF	.197	.248	.325	4
8J.Tena, 3B	.231	.259	.308	0
9J.Young, CF	.213	.315	.250	0