Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Reds at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Cincinnati Reds

58-53

0 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

47-63

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 58-53	+1.5-175	o7-115	+130
Pirates 47-63	-1.5+145	u7-105	-155

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

August 22, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 446-278-34,62% (ROI:19%) Season:17-13-1,57% (ROI:11%)

Under 7.5-117

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

0.77u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-110

N.Lodolo o16.5 Outs-110

1.1u

Fliff

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

0.71u

N.Lodolo o5.5 Ks-111

$10.00

Over 7-120

0.5u

Flat to -125 or 7.5 (-105)

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .225 (106-for-471) against Reds RPs with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .228 with RISP this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last week -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Reds have struck out 26% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Billy Ward's MLB NRFI Picks for Thursday
Billy Ward•
Aug 22, 2024 UTC
Reds vs Pirates: The Over/Under Pick
Justin Perri•
Aug 22, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 22, 2024 UTC

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The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% this season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .608 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 675 total PA's-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .574 (732 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (37/72) this month (3 games) -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 101 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 26-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Pirates' 56 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	59-51	33-23	26-28	11-21	46-30
Reds	58-52	31-26	27-26	23-27	35-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	42-63-5	23-30-3	19-33-2	12-20	29-42-5
Reds	42-63-5	18-35-4	24-28-1	13-34-3	28-29-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	47-63	31-25	16-38	14-18	32-44
Reds	58-53	32-25	25-28	27-23	30-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 21st	@TEX	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX +135
Aug 21st	@TEX	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +120
Aug 20th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +135
Aug 18th	SEA	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SEA +150
Aug 17th	SEA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +130

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	91	4.2	9	5
RJ.Junis, P	47	2.1	3	2
LJ.Wilson, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Rosario, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	87	6	9
RB.Heller, P	32	2	4
RH.Stratton, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Bart, DH	0-3	1	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, RF	3-4	1	0	3
5O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0	0