The Clemson Tigers take on the Florida State Seminoles in Tallahassee, Florida. Tip-off is set for 12 p.m. ET on The CW.
Clemson is favored by 3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -175. The total is set at 142.5 points.
Here are my Clemson vs. Florida State predictions and college basketball picks for February 15, 2025.
Clemson vs Florida State Prediction
My Pick: Under 143.5 (Play to 142)
My Clemson vs Florida State best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Clemson vs Florida State Odds
| Clemson Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 142.5 -110 / -110 | -175 |
| Florida State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 142.5 -110 / -110 | +145 |
- Clemson vs Florida State spread: Clemson -3.5
- Clemson vs Florida State over/under: 142.5 points
- Clemson vs Florida State moneyline: Clemson -175, Florida State +145
- Clemson vs Florida State best bet: Under 143.5 (Play to 142)
Spread
I'm passing on the spread.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I like the under in this one.
My Pick: Under 143.5 (Play to 142)
Clemson vs Florida State College Basketball Betting Preview
Florida State trailed Wake Forest by 16 with four minutes left on Wednesday, only to storm back and win in insane last-minute fashion.
While the Noles have won back-to-back games to get to 6-7 in ACC play, I remain unimpressed with Leonard Hamilton’s squad.
I don’t love how the Noles run their half-court offense, which lacks any semblance of spacing and shooting, instead relying on post-ups, free-throw attempts and transition buckets.
Clemson is an elite transition-denial defense (first nationally in transition frequency allowed, per Synergy), and the Tigers rarely foul because they run drop-coverage anchored by Viktor Lakhin.
They're vulnerable in post-up defense (.94 PPP allowed, 20th percentage, per Synergy), but they held Florida State to two points on 10 post-up sets in the first head-to-head matchup on Jan. 11.
Combine the Seminoles’ inefficiency with a meager six fast-break points and 15 free-throw attempts, and they managed just 57 points in a 20-point road loss to the Tigers.
I could see Florida State earning a few more post-up buckets at home in the rematch, but I don’t know if it’ll be enough to overcome its other tough offensive matchups.
On the other end of the court, the Tigers mainly play through post-up bully-ball sets with Lahkin and Ian Schieffelin, but the Seminoles are a good post-denial defense that limited Clemson to only five post-up sets in the first matchup — although the Tigers scored 12 points on those, suitable for a ridiculous 2.4 PPP (per Synergy).
Florida State is a switch-everything, isolation-funneling defense with its perimeter length. Chase Hunter dominated the Seminoles on those switches in the first matchup, scoring 15 points on 10 isolation sets.
However, Clemson mainly took advantage through inside-out and attack-and-kick 3s, ultimately canning 13 of 28 attempts (46%).
I could see some regression in the second head-to-head matchup, especially on the road (where the Tigers shoot 3% worse from deep) against a Florida State team that’s typically good at 3-point denial (top-60 nationally in Low Quality 3s forced, per ShotQuality).
Ultimately, I see Clemson slowing Florida State down again and forcing the Seminoles into their typical gross half-court execution.
But I also see some 3-point regression hitting the Tigers, forcing them to rely on Hunter in isolation and low-volume post-up actions from Schiefflin and Lahkin.
So, I could see a lower-scoring ball game.
Three straight matchups between these two have stayed under the closing total, including the first matchup despite Clemson’s red-hot shooting.
I’ll bank on more of the same.
