Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Astros at Orioles

11:08 pm • FOX

Houston Astros

0-2

6 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9
S.Arrighetti			4.53	7-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	+1.5-148	o7.5-113	+140
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+124	u7.5-106	-165

Thursday 11:08 p.m.

August 22, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Henderson To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes (Live)-110

0.91u

HOU +135

1.35u

Under 8-120

0.83u

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Spencer Arrighetti's second-half performance has seen him as one of the brightest lights for the Astros in a rookie season, including a decent 3.96 xERA, a great 16.8% K-BB%, and a 99 Pitching+ rating. Especially coming into this game with a pretty good line over three of his last nine starts, racking up double-digit strikeouts, there really isn't a lot more that you can add to that resume when you put zeroes across the board up there. On the other side, the Orioles counter with one of the elite pitchers in the league, Corbin Burnes, having shown nothing but consistency this season. Burnes boasts a steady 3.10 ERA in 26 starts this season, confirming his elite status in the baseball circle once more. The Orioles have gone under in 7 of their last 10, and the Houston bullpen has surged to 4th in the major leagues in ERA, so all signs get pointed at a low-scoring affair. All goes to show that good pitching from both ends and recent trends would tell us that runs are going to be generally hard to come by in said matchup.

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+120

BAL -0.5 (F5)-125

1.25u

Tailing @rsura_

BAL -0.5 (F5)-125

1.25u

HOU +135

1.35u

Under 8+100

good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 327-226-18,59% (ROI:14%) Season:27-18-2,60% (ROI:15%)

Over 8-114

1.14u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

HOU o3.5 Team Total-115

A.Santander o0.5 HR+425

0.5u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+525

0.5u

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+400

0.5u

HOU +132

1.32u

Under 8.5-105

0.95u

#ProSystem Use code Boomer to get pro!

BAL -155

S.Arrighetti u5.5 Ks-130

BAL -155

C.Burnes u18.5 Outs-140

HOU +132

1.98u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

Yordan has homered in both matchups vs Corbin Burnes in his career. Earlier this season 2 of his 3 batted balls were hit hard (95 & 106 MPH exit velocity vs Burnes) -> Burnes has allowed 8, 3, 5, 2, 3 Runs L5 Starts -> Astros rank 2nd in wRC+ L15 Days vs RHP -> Altuve, Bregman, Diaz all swinging the bat well which I love for this HRR prop -> Yordan 8/L9 Batted Balls hit 90+ MPH Exit Velocity -> Yordan better on the Road: 3+ HRR in 6/L8 Games (great chance of 5+ PA too)

HOU +148

1.11u

Bet to +133

Featured Insight
Astros hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last week -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 50% against the Orioles RPs over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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The Astros are 87-69 (.558) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of .987 since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .774 (924 PAs) since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has a strikeout rate of 52% (14 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has a strikeout rate of 42% (30 SO in 72 PAs) this month (3 games) -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 21st	@NYM	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +122
Aug 20th	@NYM	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +110
Aug 19th	@NYM	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +114
Aug 18th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 10	BAL -125
Aug 18th	BOS	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -112

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Arrighetti, P	94	6	6
RS.Dubin, P	37	2	2
LC.Ferguson, P	20	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	1	0
2A.Bregman, DH	1-4	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-5	1	1
3C.McCormick, LF	0-0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	1	0
5V.Caratini, C	1-4	1	0
6B.Gamel, RF	2-3	1	2
7J.Meyers, CF	1-2	1	1
8S.Whitcomb, 3B	1-4	0	2
9M.Dubon, SS	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	94	5.2	2	5
RM.Bowman, P	14	1.1	1	0
LG.Soto, P	19	1	2	0
LN.Vespi, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Cowser, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Santander, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Slater, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0