S. Florida vs. Miami (FL) Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2025

I came into this season loving USF, but there’s only so high this team can climb. The Bulls are coming off back to back top 25 wins over Boise State and Florida. Were those wins a product of USF’s excellence, or just poor showings from Boise and Florida? I think it’s a mix of both. Today’s game is not only a massive let down spot after those emotional wins, but it also feels like the perfect time for USF to finally run out of steam. It’s been a wild two week stretch, and some regression is unfortunately due. Byrum Brown is a great player, but he hasn’t exactly been lights out. He finished last week’s game with just a 48.6 passing grade and one turnover-worthy throw. His stats look solid, but he’s been getting a bit fortunate. Now he has to face an elite Miami cornerback room. Miami’s defense, a problem all last season, hit the portal hard and landed four of the best defensive backs available. Their coverage grade jumped from 3.40 to 14.16, and it should keep climbing as the season goes on. The Hurricanes defensive line is equally elite and will be a nightmare for USF’s offensive front. Miami’s front seven is a top five unit nationally. Their new defensive coordinator has completely transformed this defense from last year’s version. Offensively, Miami is just as dangerous. Carson Beck has already proven the hate on him was unwarranted, and the wide receiver room looks better than expected. The key is their dominant offensive line, which should control this game, especially in pass protection. Beck should have all day to pick apart a shaky USF secondary. Miami is legit and should methodically wear down USF. The Bulls are at their peak right now, and this feels like the moment reality finally sets in.

Points

@Stuckey2 @_Collin1 https://myaction.app/QYQETZdFBWb

South Florida has yet to score in the first quarter of Boise and Florida games, just a single TD in through both first halves

@Breese https://myaction.app/ZcwTjWm8xWb

This USF story has been awesome, I was a part of it in the opener with that ML call over Boise. But it’s time to get off the ride. To me that loss for UF was more about Billy Napier and the Gators than USF playing out of their mind. Now they catch the Canes off a de facto bye week, giving Corey Hetherman more time to plan for the Veer n Shoot. It isn’t apple to apples at all, but USC’s spread offense ran into a wall against Hetherman’s Minnesota defense last season. Gophers upset USC, completely put Miller Moss in a box. The key here is stopping the QB run. Brown is a scramble threat, but also a key goal to go and 3rd down runner. Hetherman will make him consistently win from the pocket and that’s a losing recipe. Plus Miami may be healthier on offense, expecting the return of JoJo Trader.

Boyd / FanDuel