
Sean Koerner
2341 Posts
Sean Koerner
2341 PostsNFL, college football, college basketball, player projections. have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point
Role
Director of Predictive Analytics
Experience
20 years
Location
Los Angeles
Total Bets
3.6K
Followers
329K
More from Sean Koerner

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Sean Koerner's Picks
Today
C.Brown o3.5 Recs-102
CIN
6
-
7
PIT
0.51u
1st 3:39
Projecting closer to 4.2 with around a 60% chance to clear 3.5
376
37
N.Scott u5.5 Tackles + Ast+110
CAR
7
-
7
ATL
0.5u
1st 3:33
Proj closer to 5.1 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
140
25
N.Collins u71.5 Rec Yds-110
HOU
0
-
0
TEN
0.55u
1st 5:15
Projecting closer to 64.5 with around a 59% chance to stay under 71.5
237
30
A.Al-Shaair u7.5 Tackles + Ast-138
HOU
0
-
0
TEN
0.69u
1st 5:15
Projecting closer to 6.4 with around a 65% chance to stay under 7.5
108
20
J.Addison u3.5 Recs-108
CHI
0
-
0
MIN
0.54u
1st 6:23
Projecting closer to 3.2 with around a 60% chance to stay under 3.5
246
33
D.Knox u2.5 Recs-112
TB
3
-
7
BUF
0.56u
1st 4:09
Projecting closer to 2.2 rec and around a 59% chance he stays under 2.5
242
34
A.Winfield u5.5 Tackles + Ast-110
TB
3
-
7
BUF
0.55u
1st 4:09
Proj closer to 5.1 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
179
30
T.Etienne u14.5 Rush Att-126
LAC
3
-
0
JAC
0.63u
1st 3:31
Projecting this closer to 13.4 with around a 61% chance he stays under 14.5
177
35
E.Arroyo o14.5 Rec Yds-118
SEA
LA
0.59u
11/16 9:05 PM
Projecting him closer to 19.5 with about a 60% chance he clears 14.5
265
28
H.Fannin u36.5 Rec Yds-110
BAL
CLE
0.55u
11/16 9:25 PM
Projecting him closer to 31.5 with around a 60% chance to stay under 36.5
203
30
R.Harvey o2.5 Recs-110
KC
DEN
0.55u
11/16 9:25 PM
Gave out on Action Playbook Live
245
26
M.Fitzpatrick u5.5 Tackles + Ast-127
WAS
13
-
16
MIA
0.64u
FINAL - OT 11/16
Proj closer to 5.0 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
98
26
Pending
A.Anzalone u7.5 Tackles + Ast-128
DET
PHI
0.64u
11/17 1:20 AM
Projecting closer to 6.4 with around a 65% chance to stay under 7.5
90
18
Futures
Matthew Stafford o22.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Passing TDs
0.57u
Discussed this on The Favorites
70
24
Cooper Kupp u700.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Receiving Yards
1.14u
86
25
Javonte Williams u525.5-115
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing Yards
1.15u
48
16
Jared Verse o7.5-135
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Sacks
1.35u
49
16
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.53u |
| Last 7 Days | 9-8-0 | 53% | 0.36u |
| Last 30 Days | 48-27-0 | 64% | 11.24u |
| All Time | 1959-1576-31 | 55% | 230.40u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1133-896-19 | 55% | 134.68u |
| MLB | 298-247-4 | 54% | 42.72u |
| NCAAB | 262-210-3 | 55% | 28.85u |
| WNBA | 147-118-3 | 55% | 19.47u |
| NCAAF | 36-23-2 | 59% | 6.62u |
| UFL | 5-4-0 | 56% | 0.60u |
| Golf | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.60u |
| NBA | 78-72-0 | 52% | -1.54u |
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.
Specialties
- NFL
- College football
- College basketball
- Player projections
- Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point











