More from Sean Koerner
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Koerner: The 'Most Yardage' Props With Betting Value for NFL Wild Card Weekend | The Action Network
Koerner’s Week 12 Fantasy Football Tiers: How to Navigate Rams, Chiefs Bye Weeks | The Action Network
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Sean Koerner's Picks
Today
M.Fitzpatrick u5.5 Tackles + Ast-127
WAS
13
6
MIA
0.64u
3rd 3:41
Proj closer to 5.0 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
98
C.Brown o3.5 Recs-102
CIN
@
PIT
0.51u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting closer to 4.2 with around a 60% chance to clear 3.5
326
N.Scott u5.5 Tackles + Ast+110
CAR
@
ATL
0.5u
11/16 6:00 PM
Proj closer to 5.1 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
131
N.Collins u71.5 Rec Yds-110
HOU
@
TEN
0.55u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting closer to 64.5 with around a 59% chance to stay under 71.5
218
A.Al-Shaair u7.5 Tackles + Ast-138
HOU
@TEN
0.69u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting closer to 6.4 with around a 65% chance to stay under 7.5
90
J.Addison u3.5 Recs-108
CHI
@
MIN
0.54u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting closer to 3.2 with around a 60% chance to stay under 3.5
224
D.Knox u2.5 Recs-112
TB
@
BUF
0.56u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting closer to 2.2 rec and around a 59% chance he stays under 2.5
220
A.Winfield u5.5 Tackles + Ast-110
TB
@BUF
0.55u
11/16 6:00 PM
Proj closer to 5.1 with around a 61% chance to stay under 5.5
161
T.Etienne u14.5 Rush Att-126
LAC
@
JAC
0.63u
11/16 6:00 PM
Projecting this closer to 13.4 with around a 61% chance he stays under 14.5
149
E.Arroyo o14.5 Rec Yds-118
SEA
@
LA
0.59u
11/16 9:05 PM
Projecting him closer to 19.5 with about a 60% chance he clears 14.5
247
H.Fannin u36.5 Rec Yds-110
BAL
@
CLE
0.55u
11/16 9:25 PM
Projecting him closer to 31.5 with around a 60% chance to stay under 36.5
189
R.Harvey o2.5 Recs-110
KC
@
DEN
0.55u
11/16 9:25 PM
Gave out on Action Playbook Live
119
Pending
A.Anzalone u7.5 Tackles + Ast-128
DET
@
PHI
0.64u
11/17 1:20 AM
Projecting closer to 6.4 with around a 65% chance to stay under 7.5
83
Futures
Matthew Stafford o22.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Passing TDs
0.57u
Discussed this on The Favorites
70
Cooper Kupp u700.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Receiving Yards
1.14u
86
Javonte Williams u525.5-115
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing Yards
1.15u
48
Jared Verse o7.5-135
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Sacks
1.35u
49
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.53u |
| Last 7 Days | 9-7-0 | 56% | 1.00u |
| Last 30 Days | 48-26-0 | 65% | 11.88u |
| All Time | 1959-1575-31 | 55% | 231.04u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1133-895-19 | 55% | 135.32u |
| MLB | 298-247-4 | 54% | 42.72u |
| NCAAB | 262-210-3 | 55% | 28.85u |
| WNBA | 147-118-3 | 55% | 19.47u |
| NCAAF | 36-23-2 | 59% | 6.62u |
| UFL | 5-4-0 | 56% | 0.60u |
| Golf | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.60u |
| NBA | 78-72-0 | 52% | -1.54u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.
Specialties
- NFL
- College football
- College basketball
- Player projections
- Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point