Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2023

Party Parlay Pick

Miller is under in 8/13 starts - whiff rate sitting in the 36th percentile. Only K’ing righties at a 21% clip so far, and I project the Brewers rolling with 6 in todays lineup. MIL has kept 19/L25 righty starters under this line (incl 15/L18) - running a 20% K% over the L2 weeks. Even in a scenario where Miller faces 25 batters (which I have at 98 pitches and would be the high end of the range) I have Miller at 5.2 Ks.

Available at FanDuel. It's a tough matchup for Houser, but he's a much higher-strikeout pitcher than this right now. He has been leaning more on his slider across his past seven starts, and he has gone under 3.5 strikeouts just once in that span. That includes a 10-strikeout outing against the Braves. In three road starts in this time, he has had 5, 5, and 3 strikeouts, the lone dud coming when he faced the Braves for the second time in consecutive starts. The big concern would be if the Dodgers take advantage of all the hard contact Houser allows, in which case he could be in trouble. But the best way to prevent that is allowing no contact at all. With this number being so low, I have no problem with taking the over.