Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2023

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Chicago Cubs

0-0

3 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Smith-Shawver			4.26	1-0
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-162	o9.5-108	+120
Braves 0-2	-1.5+135	u9.5-112	-142

Thursday 11:20 p.m.

September 28, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 9.5+100

A. Smith-Shawver u4.5 Ks-165

0.61u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth-lowest in MLB (102 games). The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- tied for second-lowest in MLB (110 games).

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Featured Insight
Cubs Right Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against LHP since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-4 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of just .654 last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Devin Williams allowed an OPS of just .472 (240 PAs) last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Devin Williams had a strikeout rate of 40% last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	CHC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 26th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 24th	@WSH	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -295
Sep 24th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -240
Sep 22nd	@WSH	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9	ATL -260

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	38	2	2	2
RJ.Assad, P	41	2	3	1
LL.Little, P	30	1.2	2	0
RH.Wesneski, P	36	2.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-3	1	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	1	1
4C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	0	2
6D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Candelario, DH	0-3	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	64	3.2	2	1
RK.Wright, P	39	2.1	4	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	16	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	21	1	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	1	0	1
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	1
9O.Arcia, SS	0-2	0	0	0