Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 21, 2023

Cubs at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

11-5

8 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+140	o8.5-120	-115
Pirates 10-9	+1.5-170	u8.5+100	-105

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

June 21, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

PIT -105

1.05u

CHC -110

$90.91

Over 9-106

1.89u

PIT -104

1.04u

R.Hill o1.5 BB-146

0.34u

Drinking some juice here as Hill takes on the Cubs who are a patient team with a 9.4% BB Rate against LHP (8th). Hill has 2+ BB allowed in 79% of games this season and averages 2.1 per game.

CHC -110

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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Jun 21, 2023 UTC
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The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) after a loss as favorites since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Pirates are just 40-55 (.421) after a win since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Steven Okert has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 0 Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (407/935) in non-two strike counts this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (8/81) against Kyle Hendricks over the last 14 days (2 games) -- lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

14 of Rich Hill's 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 20th	CHC	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CHC +115
Jun 19th	CHC	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +105
Jun 18th	@MIL	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL +150
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -116
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +100

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	88	6.1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	11	0.2	1	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	28	1	2	0
RM. Fulmer, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	2-5	2	1	3
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-3	0	0	1
3C.Morel, 2B	0-5	1	0	0
4T. Mancini, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	2-5	1	0	2
6Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Amaya, DH	1-3	2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-3	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	97	5.2	4	3
RR.Contreras, P	25	1.1	3	1
LA.Perdomo, P	26	0.2	1	2
RY.De Los Santos, P	9	0.1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	0
1J.Delay, C	0-0	0	0
2K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	1-2	2	0
5J.Palacios, LF	1-4	0	1
6H.Davis, DH	0-3	1	0
7C. Mitchell, RF	0-3	0	0
8R.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0
8R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0
9T.Marcano, PH	0-2	0	0
9T.Marcano, SS	0-2	0	0