Cubs vs Red Sox Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - April 27, 2024

CHC @ BOS

8:10 pm • NESN

Chicago Cubs

78-75

0 - 17

Boston Red Sox

76-77

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Winckowski			4.18	4-2
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 78-75	-1.5	-1.5+136	o9-110	-118
Red Sox 76-77	u8.5	+1.5-162	u9-110	-101

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Cubs RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. The Red Sox are batting just .182 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fourth worst in MLB.

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A Staggering Saturday Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Bobby Dalbec has an OPS of just .268 this season -- fourth worst among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- first Percentile. Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of just .150 (20 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Enmanuel Valdez has an OPS of just .444 this season -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Keegan Thompson has allowed an OPS of just .296 (35 PAs) this season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .481 (50-for-104) against Josh Winckowski when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .331 -- first Percentile.

No props found

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CHC	L 1-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CHC -108
Apr 25th	@CLE	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +110
Apr 24th	@CLE	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +110
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE +105
Apr 21st	@PIT	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +130

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 41-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Red Sox' 75 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	70-83	29-46	41-37	30-47	40-35
Cubs	75-78	33-42	42-36	30-48	44-29

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	75-70-8	34-37-4	41-33-4	36-39-2	38-31-6
Cubs	73-75-5	34-40-1	39-35-4	40-34-4	32-40-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	76-77	35-40	41-37	42-35	34-41
Cubs	78-75	40-35	38-40	41-37	36-37

Luis Garcia
P
Luis García Jr. has been scratched Sunday
Out
Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	61	3.2	4	3
LL.Little, P	34	0.2	1	5
RC.Brewer, P	42	2.2	1	3
RP.Wisdom, P	13	0.1	0	0
RM.Mervis, P	37	0.2	0	6

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1N.Hoerner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Wisdom, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Canario, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	2-4	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Winckowski, P	52	3	1
LB.Bernardino, P	19	1	1
RJ.Slaten, P	25	2	2
LC.Booser, P	27	2	3
RP.Reyes, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Reyes, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	3-5	3	1	2
4W.Abreu, RF	2-6	2	0	1
5C.Wong, C	0-4	1	0	0
5C.Wong, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	4-5	3	0	1
6R.McGuire, C	0-0	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
7R.Refsnyder, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, PR	1-2	2	0	1
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-2	2	0	1
8B.Dalbec, 1B	2-4	2	0	3
8B.Dalbec, 3B	2-4	2	0	3
9C.Rafaela, SS	4-4	3	1	7