Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2023

Diamondbacks at Brewers

12:10 am • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

15-12

9 - 1

Milwaukee Brewers

14-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8
M.Kelly			3.29	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 15-12	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 14-13	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

June 20, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

ARI +104

1.04u

MIL -115

2.3u

Over 7.5-103

M.Kelly o6.5 Ks+130

1.3u

Kelly 29.6 K% L8 starts, avg 24 BF per start - This MIL LU Ks about avg v RHP, which means just keeping on his current pace gives us a good shot at a good price.

ARI -105

M.Kelly o6.5 Ks+130

1.3u

ARI -105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

$1.30

C.Burnes o6.5 Ks-110

$1.10

C.Burnes u18.5 Outs-140

0.36u

Via @SBK5065

ARI +122

1.22u

Pitchers have similar estimators - MIL 92/90 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, ARI 105/109 - defenses comparable - ARI pen estimators nearly 1/2 run better L30 days

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Monday
Billy Ward•
Jun 19, 2023 UTC
Multiple Picks Match With 57%-Winning Model
Alex Kolodziej•
Jun 19, 2023 UTC
Monday's Expert NRFI Bet: Custom Combo With Berrios, Kelly
Shayne Trail•
Jun 19, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Brewers are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Christian Yelich has a groundball rate of 53% this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Merrill Kelly this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

Christian Yelich has a miss rate of 21% on fastballs down this season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Merrill Kelly has located his fastball down 37% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 8-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Brewers' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	16-11	8-7	8-4	8-6	8-5
Diamondbacks	19-8	9-6	10-2	6-4	12-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	15-12	8-7	7-5	9-5	6-7
Diamondbacks	16-10-1	9-6	7-4-1	5-5	10-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	14-13	8-7	6-6	8-6	6-7
Diamondbacks	15-12	9-6	6-6	6-4	8-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	PIT	W 5-2	-	-	-
Jun 17th	PIT	W 5-0	-	-	-
Jun 17th	PIT	W 5-4	-	-	-
Jun 14th	@MIN	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jun 13th	@MIN	L 5-7	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
1B
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	88	7	7	1
RM.Castro, P	9	1	0	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	2-3	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-5	1	0	1
3C.Carroll, LF	1-4	2	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	2-5	1	0	1
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-5	0	0	2
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-5	1	0	1
7G.Moreno, C	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Thomas, CF	2-4	2	1	2
9J.McCarthy, RF	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P		86	5	3	7
RA.Houser, P		77	4	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	1-3	0	1
1B.Perkins, PH	0-1	0	0
2J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0
2A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	1-3	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	0
5O.Miller, 2B	0-3	0	0
6R. Tapia, RF	0-3	0	0
7B.Anderson, 3B	1-1	1	0
8V.Caratini, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	0-3	0	0