Marlins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2023

Marlins at Nationals

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Miami Marlins

6-10

6 - 5

Washington Nationals

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Williams			5.55	6-10
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-10	-1.5+105	o8-115	-150
Nationals 10-9	+1.5-128	u8-105	+126

Friday 11:05 p.m.

June 16, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 14.5 (Live)-110

0.91u

WSH +130

0.77u

WSH +1+100

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Jun 16, 2023 UTC
Friday's NRFI Best Bet: Alcantara, Williams in Marlins vs. Nationals
Shayne Trail•
Jun 16, 2023 UTC

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The Nationals are just 25-50 (.333) after a home loss since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Marlins are 15-7 (.682) after a home win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .550.

Alex Call is batting just .136 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Sandy Alcantara has an average fastball velocity of 97.7 MPH this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

32% of Lane Thomas strikeouts are looking since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 45% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since last season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (16/22) against Sandy Alcantara -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 7.52 (20.1 IP) against division opponents this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.79 -- fourth Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (541/1,060) of the time since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .471 (57 Total Bases / 121 ABs) when ahead in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .305 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 16th	@HOU	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +165
Jun 15th	@HOU	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	HOU +200
Jun 14th	@HOU	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU +210
Jun 11th	@ATL	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	WSH +227
Jun 10th	@ATL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +152

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	93	5.1	1	5
LA.Nardi, P	24	1.2	3	0
LT.Scott, P	12	1	2	0
LA.Puk, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	5-5	2	1	3
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-3	0	0	2
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
6J.Wendle, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Berti, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-2	1	0	0
8G.Cooper, PH	1-1	0	0	1
8N.Fortes, C	0-0	0	0	0
9J. Davis, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	86	4.1	2	5
RJ.Weems, P	18	1.2	2	0
RM.Thompson, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Edwards, P	26	1	1	1
RC.Kuhl, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2L.Garcia, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-3	0	0	2
5C. Dickerson, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Garrett, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5S.Garrett, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
8V.Robles, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0	1