Marlins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Marlins at Royals

12:10 am • BSKC

Miami Marlins

52-55

2 - 1

Kansas City Royals

54-55

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9
Y.Chirinos			6.30	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 52-55	+1.5	+1.5-118	o9.5-113	+160
Royals 54-55	u10.5	-1.5-102	u9.5-106	-192

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

June 26, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

S.Lugo o18.5 Outs+116

Lugo is over this line in 9/16. 3.68 pitches per PA is 103rd/122, and taking on the team with the second fewest pitches per PA (3.69), with the highest swing% (and first in out of zone swings). And Lugo has been excellent when runners are on base (.552 OPS allowed). Over the last month vs righties, Marlins at 75 wRC+, .631 OPS and .266 OBP - all bottom 4 marks in baseball.

Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Royals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored first in just 42% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

Hunter Renfroe has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .527 (445 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 32-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Royals' 56 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	58-51	26-30	32-21	20-24	37-27
Marlins	64-43	28-25	36-18	3-10	60-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	44-64-1	21-35	23-29-1	19-25	25-38-1
Marlins	48-57-2	21-32	27-25-2	5-8	42-48-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	54-55	28-28	26-27	24-20	29-35
Marlins	52-55	24-29	28-26	6-7	46-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	MIA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -258
Jun 23rd	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +136
Jun 22nd	@TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +122
Jun 22nd	@TEX	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +124
Jun 20th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -148

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season
Connor Norby
3B
Norby is out with wrist
Out

Michael Lorenzen
SP
Michael Lorenzen (illness) has been scratched, Angel Zerpa will start Saturday,
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Chirinos, P	78	5	5	1
LA.Puk, P	13	1.1	2	0
RH.Brazoban, P	4	0.2	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	8	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-3	0	0
5J.Burger, 1B	1-3	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	1	0
7T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0
8N.Gordon, LF	1-4	1	1
9A.Sanchez, C	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	87	6	8	0
RC.Hernandez, P	13	0.2	1	1
LW.Smith, P	13	1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	15	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 2B	0-2	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	1
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0
4D.Blanco, PR	0-0	0	0
5M.Massey, DH	1-3	0	0
5N.Loftin, PH	0-1	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	0-1	0	0
6G.Hampson, PH	0-2	0	0
6G.Hampson, LF	0-2	0	0
7H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0
8C.Alexander, 3B	0-3	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0