Marlins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Marlins at Royals

12:10 am • BSKC

Miami Marlins

6-8

2 - 1

Kansas City Royals

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9
Y.Chirinos			6.30	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-8	+1.5	+1.5-118	o9.5-113	+160
Royals 11-8	u10.5	-1.5-102	u9.5-106	-192

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

June 26, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

S.Lugo o18.5 Outs+116

Lugo is over this line in 9/16. 3.68 pitches per PA is 103rd/122, and taking on the team with the second fewest pitches per PA (3.69), with the highest swing% (and first in out of zone swings). And Lugo has been excellent when runners are on base (.552 OPS allowed). Over the last month vs righties, Marlins at 75 wRC+, .631 OPS and .266 OBP - all bottom 4 marks in baseball.

Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Royals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored first in just 42% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

Hunter Renfroe has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .527 (445 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	MIA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -258
Jun 23rd	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +136
Jun 22nd	@TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +122
Jun 22nd	@TEX	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +124
Jun 20th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -148

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Chirinos, P	78	5	5	1
LA.Puk, P	13	1.1	2	0
RH.Brazoban, P	4	0.2	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	8	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-3	0	0
5J.Burger, 1B	1-3	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	1	0
7T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0
8N.Gordon, LF	1-4	1	1
9A.Sanchez, C	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	87	6	8	0
RC.Hernandez, P	13	0.2	1	1
LW.Smith, P	13	1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	15	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 2B	0-2	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	1
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0
4D.Blanco, PR	0-0	0	0
5M.Massey, DH	1-3	0	0
5N.Loftin, PH	0-1	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	0-1	0	0
6G.Hampson, PH	0-2	0	0
6G.Hampson, LF	0-2	0	0
7H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0
8C.Alexander, 3B	0-3	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0