Padres vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2024

Padres at Red Sox

5:35 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

90-72

1 - 4

Boston Red Sox

89-73

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Winckowski			4.14	4-2
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 90-72	-1.5+142	o10-115	-106
Red Sox 89-73	+1.5-167	u10-105	-112

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

June 30, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

SD +100

M.Waldron o3.5 Ks-160

1.6u

SD +100

1.5u

BOS -120

2.5u

Featured Insight
The Padres are batting .568 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .524 (11-for-21) against Red Sox RPs with RISP over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .813 this month -- fourth best in MLB. Padres RPs have allowed an OPS of .796 (390 PAs) this month -- third worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 40% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .678 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .496 (231 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .333 (19-for-57) against Josh Winckowski this season -- 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .215 -- third Percentile.

Josh Winckowski has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (426/820) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 29th	SD	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -141
Jun 28th	SD	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	SD -159
Jun 25th	TOR	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -130
Jun 24th	TOR	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -165
Jun 23rd	@CIN	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +136

Jose De Leon
RP
De Leon is out with elbow
Out
Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Joseph Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	74	4.1	3	3
LW.Peralta, P	14	0.2	0	0
RS.Kolek, P	8	1	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	26	1	2	0
RJ.Estrada, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-4	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-4	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	1-4	0	0
5D.Solano, 3B	0-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	3-4	1	0
7H.Kim, SS	1-3	0	1
8K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	0
9B.Johnson, RF	1-2	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0
9D.Peralta, RF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Winckowski, P	58	5	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	11	0.2	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	23	1.1	1	1
RC.Martin, P	10	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-3	1	1	1
2D.Hamilton, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, PH	0-0	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	2-2	2	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, SS	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5E.Valdez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	0	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0